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Gregg Rosenthal· Jan 7, 2026

Rosenthal gave his award ballot: Drake May atop his MVP list (though he expects Matthew Stafford to actually win), Myles Garrett for Defensive Player of the Year, Bijan Robinson for Offensive Player of the Year, Tetairoa McMillan for Offensive Rookie of the Year, Carson Schwesinger for Defensive Rookie of the Year, Mike Macdonald for Coach of the Year and Broncos O-line coach Zach Strief for Assistant Coach of the Year. He also expects Kirk Cousins to be cut by Atlanta.

“So Bijon gets the Offensive Player of the Year, but give CMC some MVP vote and split the baby that way.”

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

9 checkable claims — 6 award picks, 2 coach award picks and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

8 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

9 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Award PicksMatthew StaffordJan 7, 2026

    Matthew Stafford to win MVP

    “But the TV analysts are like my dear friend Matthew Award and that is why I think he's gonna get Matt staff”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Matthew Stafford
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Coach Award PicksJan 7, 2026

    Mike McDonald to win Coach of the Year

    “I'm going to stick with where I was at, which was McDonald one, Kyle Shanahan two, and Ben Johnson three.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    coach_of_the_year
    coach:
    Mike Macdonald
    naive:
    the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Mike Vrabel
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Award PicksDrake MayeJan 7, 2026

    Drake Maye to win MVP

    “stats guys say, it's May by a mile ... But to me, it's like the running that kind of puts it over the top ... Would be Stafford's second.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Drake Maye
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Coach Award PicksJan 7, 2026

    Zack Streef to win Assistant Coach of the Year

    “I'm gonna go with Broncos offensive line code Zack Streef ... so I'm gonna go streat first”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    assistant_coach_of_the_year
    coach:
    Zack Streef
    naive:
    we hold no 2024 winner, so the naive pick scored 0
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Josh McDaniels
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Award PicksTetairoa McMillanJan 7, 2026

    Tetairoa McMillan to win Offensive Rookie of the Year

    “Let's go offensive Rookie of the Year. I've already kind of made said my piece on this one, which was Tetero McMillan”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Tetairoa McMillan
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Tetairoa McMillan
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Award PicksCarson SchwesingerCleveland BrownsJan 7, 2026

    Carson Schwesinger to win Defensive Rookie of the Year

    “He's doing it for one of the best defense in the league. So he's my choice too.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Jared Verse, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Carson Schwesinger
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Carson Schwesinger
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Award PicksMyles GarrettJan 7, 2026

    Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year

    “everyone just knows obvious Miles Garrett is going to win the award, So I think we all probably would agree with that”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Myles Garrett
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Myles Garrett
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Award PicksBijan RobinsonJan 7, 2026

    Bijan Robinson to win Offensive Player of the Year

    “I have Jon Robinson as my number one because to me, it's just best player in the ... So Bijon gets the Offensive Player of the Year”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    offensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Bijan Robinson
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Jaxon Smith-Njigba
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trade and Signing CallsKirk CousinsAtlanta FalconsJan 7, 2026

    Kirk Cousins to move to Atlanta Falcons

    “it just makes it easier for them to cut him before the start of the season without as much salary cap pain. So it sounds like he'll be cut”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More award picks

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