Freeland picks the Chiefs to edge the Texans, the Bills to beat the Bengals at home by more than a field goal, Washington to win at Minnesota regardless of quarterback, and the Browns to beat the Titans by five or more.

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Game Outcome PicksDec 5, 2025

  “I don't care which which Washington quarterback is playing. Washington wins this one.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-128 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  MIN

  score:

  0-31

  skill:

  -128

  they picked:

  WAS

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  MIN

  difficulty:

  1.28

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  5

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksDec 5, 2025

  “I see the numbers five and a half for Buffalo at home... I think that this is where the Bills at home the might... I think the Bills need to keep it together.”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  BUF

  score:

  34-39

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  BUF

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive pick:

  BUF

  difficulty:

  1.28

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  5

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksDec 5, 2025

  “And then also Patrick Mahomes's ability to scramble just narrowly puts them over the top... I know you're on the other side of that least in terms of wins”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  HOU

  score:

  20-10

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  KC

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  KC

  difficulty:

  1.28

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  5

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksDec 5, 2025

  “My last one's gonna be the Browns... So they need to win by five points more, got it? That's what I'm taking”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored

  won:

  TEN

  score:

  31-29

  skill:

  0

  they picked:

  CLE

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  0

  naive pick:

  CLE

  difficulty:

  1.28

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  5

  Think this is wrong?

• Game Outcome PicksDec 5, 2025

  “I'm I'm completely with you. (on Denver minus seven and a half)”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?