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Kyle Brandt· Feb 6, 2026

Kyle picked the Patriots to win the Super Bowl 20-17 on a walk-off field goal.

I think the Patriots have a walk off field goal win again, and they are going to Seattle twenty to seventeen

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

2 checkable claims — 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

All 2 have settled, averaging 34.5 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • New England Patriots to win the Super Bowl

    there's something in my gut that tells me Mike Rabel is going to find a way. Rabel, it is a seventeen.

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+50 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    50
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots 20 — Seahawks 17

    I think the Patriots have a walk off field goal win again, and they are going to Seattle twenty to seventeen

    Miss · 19Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 16.73+2.31 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    2.31
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    19.05
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    3

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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