Kyle picked the Patriots to win the Super Bowl 20-17 on a walk-off field goal.

2 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Super Bowl PicksFeb 6, 2026

  “there's something in my gut that tells me Mike Rabel is going to find a way. Rabel, it is a seventeen.”

  Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+50 skill
  How this was scored

  skill:

  50

  they picked:

  NE

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  50

  baseline:

  0

  champion:

  SEA

  runner up:

  NE

  naive pick:

  PHI

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  weeks left when called:

  0

  Think this is wrong?

• Score PredictionsFeb 6, 2026

  “I think the Patriots have a walk off field goal win again, and they are going to Seattle twenty to seventeen”

  Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 16.73+2.31 skill
  How this was scored

  score:

  29-13

  skill:

  2.31

  they picked:

  NE

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  19.05

  baseline:

  16.73

  difficulty:

  1

  weeks in the season:

  18

  actual margin:

  16

  weeks left when called:

  0

  naive home margin:

  2.03

  predicted margin:

  3

  Think this is wrong?