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Chris Brockman· Nov 10, 2025

Brockman argued the Patriots are the AFC's best team, that the NFC's road to the Super Bowl runs through the West (Seahawks or Rams), that Jonathan Taylor has locked up at least one postseason award, that the Lions will be the No. 1 seed if Dan Campbell keeps calling plays, and that the Eagles will beat the Packers on Monday night.

“The NFC road to the Super Bowl goes through the West.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 award pick, 1 game outcome pick and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 62.5 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Conference ChampionsSeattle SeahawksNov 10, 2025

    Seattle Seahawks to reach the Super Bowl

    “The NFC road to the Super Bowl goes through the West... Either Seattle or either the Rams.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    150
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    1.5
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    reached the Super Bowl:
    yes
    lost the conference final:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Conference ChampionsLos Angeles RamsNov 10, 2025

    Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl

    “The NFC road to the Super Bowl goes through the West... Either Seattle or either the Rams.”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+75 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    75
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    1.5
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seeding, Byes and Home FieldDetroit LionsNov 10, 2025

    Detroit Lions to take the top seed

    “And I think if Dan Campbell calls offensive plays the rest of the season, the lions will be the one seed.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    checked as:
    the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
    actual tier:
    missed the playoffs
    difficulty:
    1.5
    the naive guess:
    where they finished last season (bye)
    weeks in the season:
    18
    claimed seed:
    1
    claimed tier:
    bye
    weeks left when called:
    9

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesNov 10, 2025

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay

    “I am curious what Philadelphia looks like Monday night, in Green Bay. I I think they're gonna win the game.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    10-7
    skill:
    150
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9

    Think this is wrong?

  • Award PicksJonathan TaylorIndianapolis ColtsNov 10, 2025

    Jonathan Taylor to win at least one postseason award

    “Jonathan Taylor locked up at least one award on Sunday.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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