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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.63% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 14 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 13 of 16 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
876–900 of 3,315
15 / 3,315
graded
3,300 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 11 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 10 articles (2 higher, 8 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 16 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 17 articles (3 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (WR13 and pick 33)
Rashee Rice at WR13 and pick 33 makes me nervous... Rice is a risky pick right now, and I would much rather have safer options in this range.
Jalen Coker to be 2nd on the depth chart
Coker has shown upside, and he will be top-2 on this team in targets.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost
I have yet to draft Christian McCaffrey, nor do I plan to in the next couple of weeks... His rushing metrics have fallen off a cliff
Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers
Tucker Kraft to fall short of his draft cost (an overall ADP at TE 65)
With an overall ADP at TE 65, Kraft is way too risky for me given it's been less than a year since his surgery.
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (current FantasyPros ADP remains around 54 to 58)
Davante Adams is the player I am avoiding because we rank him 83rd overall while his current FantasyPros ADP remains around 54 to 58.
A.J. Brown to outplay his draft cost (his current ADP)
If I am picking in the back half of Round 1, there is zero chance Brown makes it to his current ADP.
A.J. BrownNew England Patriots
DeVonta Smith to be 1st on the depth chart
With A.J. Brown traded to New England, Smith is now the clear WR1 in Philadelphia
DeVonta SmithPhiladelphia Eagles
Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (21 overall)
Am I taking him at 21 overall? No chance... Allen's price is far too high to justify.
Josh Allen to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
Will he be QB1 again this season? Probably.
Rome Odunze to fall short of his draft cost (real-time ADP of 59 overall)
I simply refuse to click on Rome Odunze in drafts this season at his real-time ADP of 59 overall.
K.C. Concepcion to outplay his draft cost (current FantasyPros ADP remains around 132)
KC Concepcion is the player I am targeting most because we rank him 79th overall while his current FantasyPros ADP remains around 132.
K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns
Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (a borderline top-60 overall cost)
Tuten has the talent to blow past that in 2026, and at a borderline top-60 overall cost, that is a bet absolutely worth taking.
Jonathan Taylor to fall short of his draft cost (the RB4/ECR6 player in redraft leagues)
Jonathan Taylor is a great running back, but very risky as the RB4/ECR6 player in redraft leagues... he will not be on any of my redraft teams.
Jonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts
Bhayshul Tuten to be 1st on the depth chart
Bhayshul Tuten has the opportunity to emerge as the clear RB1 in a Jacksonville offense that should be exceptional in 2026.
Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (pick 140 and WR52)
Right now he is free, pick 140 and WR52, no risk at all.
DeVonta Smith to outplay his draft cost (his current ADP of WR13 and 31st overall)
I'm targeting Philadelphia Eagles wide receiver DeVonta Smith at his current ADP of WR13 and 31st overall... which offers strong value relative to his projected role.
DeVonta SmithPhiladelphia Eagles
Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (a current ADP at only WR 39)
With a current ADP at only WR 39, Johnston is flying under the radar. I think he's just beginning to tap into his vast potential.
Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers
Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart
Watson was already going to be the WR1 for Jordan Love... is going to see that role expand this year
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
Jeremiyah Love to fall short of his draft cost (RB14; 28th overall)
The biggest problem with Jeremiyah Love is not talent; it's opportunity cost. Around his ADP (RB14; 28th overall)...
Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals
Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (his ADP)
I am tripling/quadruapling down on Ashton Jeanty not being a strong Fantasy Football pick in 2026, especially for his ADP.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Ashton Jeanty to be 1st on the depth chart
While it will not be a full RBBC, a 70/30 split is realistic in Las Vegas with Jeanty leading the way.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (anywhere in the back half of the second round in 12-team drafts)
I think tight end is worth paying up for this year, and I'm willing to take Brock Bowers anywhere in the back half of the second round in 12-team drafts.
Bucky Irving to outplay his draft cost
It seems like everyone in the fantasy community is fading Bucky Irving, but I'm buying... Buy the dip.
Blake Corum to be 2nd on the depth chart
At worst, he'll spend the season backing up Kyren Williams in what should be an outstanding Rams offense.
Blake Corum to outplay his draft cost (his current ADP of RB34 and 96th overall)
Even so, a down 2026 season would qualify as only a small miss at his current ADP of RB34 and 96th overall... making Corum a bet worth taking.