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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.4% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 14 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 15 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
1301–1325 of 2,177
15 / 2,177
graded
2,162 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 11 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 18 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 9 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (RB3 price)
Christian McCaffrey is the running back I'm most likely to avoid at his current RB3 price... I believe the downside outweighs the upside at his current ADP
Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (the 44th overall player)
You couldn't pay me to click on Quinshon Judkins as the 44th overall player... It's all a recipe for disaster at cost.
Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (top-12 WR valuation)
Rice is an obvious fade in 2026 at his current top-12 WR valuation.
Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (fantasy's 12th overall player off the board)
Justin Jefferson is fantasy's 12th overall player off the board at the moment. No thank you... A mid-to-late 2nd round pick is far enough for JJ to rise up my board.
Justin JeffersonMinnesota Vikings
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (a top-30 ADP)
He has also missed a lot of time over the past two seasons, which adds even more risk at a top-30 ADP. I have Rice at No. 34 overall, and there are other players in that range I would rather take.
Garrett Wilson to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top 50)
Garrett Wilson is an excellent receiver, but I keep passing on him inside the top 50. I do not trust a Frank Reich offense to consistently create the concentrated volume needed for a true fantasy WR1 season.
Garrett Wilson to fall short of his draft cost (a Top 50 option)
Garrett Wilson being drafted as a Top 50 option is way too rich for my blood.
Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (top-15 WR and Round 3 prices)
I just wish I wasn't paying top-15 WR and Round 3 prices for it... I really like Flowers, just don't like the price
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR18 price)
Tetairoa McMillan is a receiver I'm avoiding at his current WR18 price because fantasy managers are already paying for a sizable second-year leap.
Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR18)
Tetairoa McMillan is my WR fade at his current price (WR18)... I'm not willing to pay McMillan's current price for what could be a limited-volume offense.
Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Travis Etienne to fall short of his draft cost (RB 19)
Bottom line- Etienne's ADP at RB 19 is too rich for my blood... Who dat' want to draft Travis Etienne in 2026? Not Mark Ringo.
Travis EtienneNew Orleans Saints
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (WR12, 30th overall)
Rashee Rice is in the no-fly zone for me at WR12, 30th overall... I'm completely out on Rice.
Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (RB6 price tag)
If it was based on talent, Ashton Jeanty would warrant his RB6 price tag, but there are better values at the RB position in better situations.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Ladd McConkey to fall short of his draft cost (the WR19 on average)
His 11.3 fantasy points per game were good for only WR34, and yet he's being drafted as the WR19 on average... Instead of clicking on McConkey in the middle of Round 4, I'd rather take Jaylen Waddle, David Montgomery, Tyler Warren, or D'Andre Swift.
Ladd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (Round 3)
I was shocked to look and find Cam Skattebo coming off the board in Round 3 on average... I'll continue passing on the reckless Skattebo
Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (the first three rounds)
Ashton Jeanty is not draftable in the first three rounds of any Fantasy Football draft... Drafting Jeanty in Round 1/Round 2 is the quickest way to throw away your Fantasy Football season.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Khalil Shakir to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 157.0 (WR57))
I'm doubling down on my suggestion of Shakir as an exciting player to leave in drafts, with more upside than meets the eye.
MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 187.3 (RB68))
He shouldn't go undrafted, as he's precisely the type of player gamers should stash instead of drafting a kicker or defense.
MarShawn LloydGreen Bay Packers
Jalen Coker to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 165.0 (WR58))
Coker has demonstrable upside.
Daniel Jones to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 174.3 (QB27))
Daniel Jones is the most intriguing, break-glass-in-an-emergency pick among players selected after pick 150... there's proof of concept of him playing as a QB1 in fantasy football for 10 weeks just last season.
Daniel JonesIndianapolis Colts
Terrance Ferguson to be 3rd on the depth chart
a well-rounded pass-catching weapon in a top-heavy pass-catching corps, with a path to being the team's No. 3 passing-game option
Terrance FergusonLos Angeles Rams
Terrance Ferguson to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 198.7 (TE26))
Terrance Ferguson is an ideal TE2 for gamers chasing the upside of a top-six season at the position.
Terrance FergusonLos Angeles Rams
MarShawn Lloyd to be 2nd on the depth chart
Lloyd is a dynamic player when healthy and should be Josh Jacobs' primary backup running back.
MarShawn LloydGreen Bay Packers
Terrance Ferguson to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy points
Terrance Ferguson is an ideal TE2 for gamers chasing the upside of a top-six season at the position.
Terrance FergusonLos Angeles Rams
Chris Rodriguez Jr. to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 157.3 (RB49))
Rodriguez certainly has the chops to handle short-yardage work... it makes rostering Rodriguez worthwhile to see how the roles shake out in Jacksonville's backfield.
Chris Rodriguez Jr.Jacksonville Jaguars