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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.4% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 14 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 15 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
1326–1350 of 2,177
15 / 2,177
graded
2,162 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 11 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 18 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 9 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Jonah Coleman to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 157.3 (RB50))
He has an interesting skill set and warrants stashing on benches early in the season.
Emeka Egbuka to record 73 receptions
Our current projections have him finishing with 192 fantasy points amid a 73/1,097/8 split — I'm more bullish on his ability to surpass those totals.
Jadarian Price to outplay his draft cost (ranked as the RB26 in ECR)
For some reason, Price is ranked as the RB26 in ECR, behind committee/rotational backs like Quinshon Judkins, Bhayshul Tuten and TreVeyon Henderson. I'll invest in Price wherever possible.
Emeka Egbuka to record 1,097 receiving yards
Our current projections have him finishing with 192 fantasy points amid a 73/1,097/8 split — I'm more bullish on his ability to surpass those totals.
Jadarian Price to be 1st on the depth chart
Seattle brought in Jadarian Price to immediately slide into the vacancy that Kenneth Walker III left behind... Price seems set to dominate touches for the Seahawks early in the season.
Jared Goff to outplay his draft cost (the QB16 in both average draft position (ADP) and expert consensus rankings (ECR))
Currently ranked as the QB16 in both average draft position (ADP) and expert consensus rankings (ECR), I have little hesitation that Goff will have any issue surpassing that mark in short order.
DJ Moore to be 1st on the depth chart
Moore becomes the de facto first read for Josh Allen on all passing plays.
Emeka Egbuka to record 8 receiving tds
Our current projections have him finishing with 192 fantasy points amid a 73/1,097/8 split — I'm more bullish on his ability to surpass those totals.
Cam Skattebo to be 1st on the depth chart
If Skattebo can remain healthy, he will be an unquestioned No. 1 RB for a team that wants to establish a physical presence by running the ball.
Justin Herbert to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
If the Chargers stay healthy this season, he will threaten to finish within the top five at the position.
Emeka Egbuka to record 192 fantasy points
Our current projections have him finishing with 192 fantasy points amid a 73/1,097/8 split — I'm more bullish on his ability to surpass those totals.
David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (currently going as the RB24)
you can see where the potential lies for the back currently going as the RB24
David MontgomeryHouston Texans
Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (Currently going as the RB23)
Currently going as the RB23, Tuten is finally out of RB3 territory for the first time this offseason... this is the textbook case for a breakout season.
Bhayshul TutenJacksonville Jaguars
Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart
As a result, it’s without a doubt Pollard’s job.
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
With second-year pass-catching specialist Woody Marks and third-year sixth-round pick Jawhar Jordan, it is clearly Montgomery’s backfield.
David MontgomeryHouston Texans
D'Andre Swift to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
Of this list, I would be least surprised if Swift was the one to finish inside the top 12.
D'Andre Swift to be 1st on the depth chart
This opens the door for Swift to start the season as a clear RB1.
Jordyn Brooks to outplay his draft cost (his increasing ADP)
I’d be buying Brooks at his increasing ADP
Jordyn BrooksCarolina Panthers
Travis Kelce to record 9 receiving tds
I wouldn’t be surprised if Patrick Mahomes wills his way past Rob Gronkowski and throws Kelce nine touchdowns this year.
Travis KelceKansas City Chiefs
Bo Nix to record 350 rushing yards
with 350 and six on the ground
Bo Nix to record 25–30 passing tds
he is lined up for another 3,700-3,900 yards, 25-30 passing touchdowns
Travis Kelce to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
if you are comfortable with the TE 5-10, he might be the best bet to finish in that range
Travis KelceKansas City Chiefs
Ashton Jeanty to record 12 rushing tds
If he managed to get 10 touchdowns on that miserable offense, we could easily see him reach 12 or more if this offense is only marginally better.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Bo Nix to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
If he does that, he will be locked in to another QB6-10 finish.
Amon-Ra St. Brown to finish top 2 at his position, by fantasy points
saying ARSB is the WR2 this season shouldn’t be a hot take
Amon-Ra St. BrownDetroit Lions