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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.4% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 14 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 15 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
1601–1625 of 2,179
15 / 2,179
graded
2,164 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 11 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 18 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 9 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Luther Burden III to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 41.1 | WR17)
Luther Burden III (CHI) – ADP 41.1 | WR17 The hype around Burden has gotten out of control.
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 37.3 | WR15)
While I like McMillan, he is overvalued as the WR15 in ADP.
Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 80.6 | QB7)
Jaxson Dart (NYG) – ADP 80.6 | QB7 ... Dart is overvalued at his current ADP.
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 34.4 | RB17)
Bucky Irving (TB) – ADP 34.4 | RB17 ... Irving regressed last year and struggled to stay healthy ... showing their lack of trust in Irving as a featured running back.
Oronde Gadsden II to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 94.7 | TE9)
Oronde Gadsden II (LAC) – ADP 94.7 | TE9 ... he shouldn't get picked as anything more than a mid-range TE2.
De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 12.5 | RB5)
De'Von Achane (MIA) – ADP 12.5 | RB5 ... I won't draft him as a mid-range RB1 and would like to avoid picking Achane altogether with Malik Willis under center.
Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart
Tony Pollard remains the clear No. 1 RB in Tennessee after the Titans did little this offseason to seriously threaten his starting role.
Parker Washington to be 1st on the depth chart
Washington should continue to operate as the team’s primary punt returner (he ceded kickoff return duties to LeQuint Allen Jr. in 2025)
Malik Washington to outplay his draft cost (late in drafts)
I wrote about Malik Washington recently, citing that he should be considered by fantasy managers late in drafts as an upside dart throw due to his expected target share alone... Call this another feather in Washington’s cap for a potential breakout 2026 campaign.
Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (RB36)
his RB36 rank is free money... I still think RB36 is too cheap if the knee finally holds up.
Jonathon BrooksCarolina Panthers
De'Von Achane to outplay his draft cost (RB9, being drafted around 18th overall)
This year he has fallen to RB9, being drafted around 18th overall, which could benefit managers who take the risk
Tank Bigsby to outplay his draft cost (RB52)
Tank Bigsby at RB52 because the upside relative to cost is massive
Tank BigsbyPhiladelphia Eagles
RJ Harvey to outplay his draft cost (RB33)
I was out on RJ Harvey at his price last year, but at RB33 this year I'm all the way back in.
Jaylen Warren to outplay his draft cost (RB27)
Jaylen Warren is my pick. At RB27, we're getting a back who produced 1,291 scrimmage yards and eight touchdowns last season
Jaylen WarrenPittsburgh Steelers
Jadarian Price to be 1st on the depth chart
but Seattle drafted Price to be its feature back... Price is set up for immediate volume
Jadarian PriceSeattle Seahawks
Alvin Kamara to outplay his draft cost (RB50)
At RB50, Kamara has the upside as a pass-catcher to give owners a steady RB2 and FLEX for the entire season
Alvin KamaraNew Orleans Saints
Jadarian Price to outplay his draft cost (RB26)
At RB26, he is one of the biggest steals on the board.
Jadarian PriceSeattle Seahawks
Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (5th round)
Bhayshul Tuten is currently being drafted in the 5th round of drafts... Tuten is an RB2 with RB1 upside at an RB3 price!
Isiah Pacheco to outplay his draft cost (RB 48)
considering Pacheco's ADP is at RB 48, the risk is worth the reward
Kenneth Walker III to outplay his draft cost (RB12)
May not seem like a bargain at RB12, but Kenneth Walker is. He should be going in the first round of fantasy drafts.
Kenneth Walker IIIKansas City Chiefs
MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (RB61)
the current consensus RB61 could not only shatter expectations, but also become a weekly starter for your fantasy team
MarShawn LloydGreen Bay Packers
Nicholas Singleton to outplay his draft cost (RB62)
He's sitting at RB62 in a shaky Titans backfield... he has the talent to become one of the biggest profit plays in fantasy this season.
Nicholas SingletonTennessee Titans
Rachaad White to outplay his draft cost (RB40 in ECR)
Rachaad White is currently RB40 in ECR and will at least be in the pass-catching role for this Commanders offense... At his current price, you could get a big payoff
Rachaad WhiteWashington Commanders
D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (a fifth-round ADP)
At a fifth-round ADP, Swift looks like a safe RB2 with a good chance to outperform his price.
Bhayshul Tuten to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
Tuten has 280+ touch, 10+ touchdown upside, even with the competition, with a top-12 finish well within his range of outcomes.