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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.4% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 14 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 15 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
1951–1975 of 2,179
15 / 2,179
graded
2,164 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 11 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 18 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 9 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Oronde Gadsden II to be 3rd on the depth chart
Word out of camp is that Gadsden is third in the pecking order. This is largely due to Njoku and Kolar’s superior blocking.
Oronde Gadsden IIMiami Dolphins
Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (RB28 to RB32)
I like betting on his upside rather than settling for a plodder like Hubbard.
Chuba HubbardCarolina Panthers
Brian Thomas Jr. to outplay his draft cost (WR31 to WR33)
This has caused Brian Thomas Jr.‘s price to dip. I recommend buying in, as Thomas has had a strong camp as well... The price is right on this one.
Brian Thomas Jr.Jacksonville Jaguars
De'Zhaun Stribling to be 1st on the depth chart
While it’s a long shot, the rookie could be the 49ers’ No. 1 wide receiver at some point this season.
Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart
Don’t be surprised if Brooks takes the starting running back job from Hubbard sooner than later.
Jalen McMillan to be 2nd on the depth chart
Don’t be surprised if McMillan pushes the aging Chris Godwin for the No. 2 wide receiver role.
Brock Purdy to fall short of his draft cost (FantasyPros Ranking: QB11)
Brock Purdy (QB – SF) FantasyPros Ranking: QB11 ... All that to say that Purdy would need a lot of things to go right, including everyone staying healthy, to get close to a QB11 fantasy finish.
Brock PurdySan Francisco 49ers
Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (FantasyPros Ranking: QB12)
Jaxson Dart (QB – NYG) FantasyPros Ranking: QB12 ... Dart is very talented but it will take a lot of work to get to a QB1 level this year.
Malik Willis to fall short of his draft cost (FantasyPros Ranking: QB21)
Malik Willis (QB – MIA) FantasyPros Ranking: QB21 ... There's a lot going against Willis that make it hard to see him as a top-20 fantasy quarterback on a weekly basis.
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (the sixth round of 12-team drafts)
Risk aversion typically drops Watson into the sixth round of 12-team drafts. That's appealing value for a player who demonstrated last season that he's capable of being a top-15 receiver if he enjoys a season of good health.
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted as a midrange or low-end RB2)
That volume is appealing when you consider that Judkins is being drafted as a midrange or low-end RB2... Quinshon Judkins looks like a volume trap.
Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns
Jonathan Taylor to fall short of his draft cost (the third overall pick)
Another tough fade for this selection is Jonathan Taylor ... do you deserve to be drafted with the third overall pick when your quarterback is coming off said achilles injury
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (1.03)
Players to Avoid at 1.03 Fantasy Football Draft Pick — Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF) ... McCaffrey is a stronger pick slightly later than this.
Ja'Marr Chase to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
Burrow is fully healthy this offseason, and ceiling is the name of the game at the top of the draft. Lock Chase in for another WR1 overall season.
A.J. Brown to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
a major fantasy bounce-back and WR1 szn is LOADING for AJB
Greg Dulcich to outplay his draft cost (Late-Round)
Top Late-Round TE Targets: Greg Dulcich
Dallas Goedert to outplay his draft cost (Late-Round)
Top Late-Round TE Targets: Dallas Goedert
Dalton Schultz to outplay his draft cost (Late-Round)
Top Late-Round TE Targets: Dalton Schultz
AJ Barner to outplay his draft cost (Late-Round)
Top Late-Round TE Targets: AJ Barner
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (low-end fantasy football WR2)
The FantasyPros ECR is pricing Davante Adams as a low-end fantasy football WR2... it's easy to recognize that Adams is far more likely to fall off than to replicate what he did last year.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP of WR12 (30th overall))
Now, Rice has an ADP of WR12 (30th overall). I'm fleeing at that price.
Brock Purdy to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
Purdy will again be a QB1 that goes far too late in drafts in 2026.
Trevor Lawrence to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
the splendidly long-haired quarterback has finally become a top-10 quarterback
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (Round 7 or 8)
I'm not afraid to pull the trigger on Herbert in Round 7 or 8 (if he falls)
Tyler Shough to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
Tyler Shough is a wonderful late-round quarterback who could be a QB1 in 2026.