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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.4% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 14 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 15 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
2001–2025 of 2,179
15 / 2,179
graded
2,164 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 11 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 18 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 9 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Luther Burden III to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 51 | (WR22))
Luther Burden III (WR – CHI) ADP: 51 | (WR22) ... Burden isn’t going to see 80 more targets just because Moore is gone. Some of the targets will go to Rome Odunze as well.
Luther Burden IIIChicago Bears
Jayden Daniels to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 59 | (QB5))
Jayden Daniels (QB – WAS) ADP: 59 | (QB5) ... he’s being priced at his ceiling ... let someone else bet on the bounce-back.
Jayden DanielsWashington Commanders
Michael Wilson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 104 | (WR44))
Michael Wilson (WR – ARI) ADP: 104 | (WR44) ... it looks like a value, but in reality, it’s a trap.
Michael WilsonArizona Cardinals
Jaylen Waddle to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points
I expect Waddle to finish closer to WR10 than WR20 in 2026 in all scoring formats.
Tre Tucker to be 2nd on the depth chart
He’ll likely be second on the Raiders in target share.
Brock Bowers to finish top 1 at his position, by fantasy points
The Raiders didn’t add any other receivers. At full strength, he’ll be the TE1.
Emeka Egbuka to be 1st on the depth chart
He’ll be the Bucs’ No. 1 WR.
Emeka EgbukaTampa Bay Buccaneers
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
Montgomery will be the lead back.
David MontgomeryHouston Texans
Jonah Coleman to outplay his draft cost (ADP 143 Overall, RB47)
Rookie Jonah Coleman is a dart throw ... but I believe he will be involved alongside JK Dobbins and RJ Harvey.
Jordan Mason to outplay his draft cost (ADP 113 Overall, RB41)
Mason may very well be in line for a big workload in an offense that’s expected to put up more points this season, making him a value at his ADP of RB41.
Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (ADP 102 Overall, RB37)
Jonathon Brooks (RB – CAR) | ADP 102 Overall, RB37 ... making Brooks one of my top zero RB targets.
Jonathon BrooksCarolina Panthers
Blake Corum to outplay his draft cost (ADP 94 Overall, RB35)
Corum offers plenty of standalone value but also possesses massive contingency upside. Those are the bets you should be taking with a zero RB strategy.
Rico Dowdle to outplay his draft cost (ADP 58 Overall, RB29)
the familiarity with McCarthy and recent success suggests Dowdle has a stronger path to taking over the backfield and out producing his ADP.
Rico DowdlePittsburgh Steelers
Rico Dowdle to be 1st on the depth chart
Early reports out of Steelers camp suggest that Dowdle is the RB1 ahead of Warren, and while they’ll certainly split the workload, the familiarity with McCarthy and recent success suggests Dowdle has a stronger path to taking over the backfield
Rico DowdlePittsburgh Steelers
Jalen McMillan to be 2nd on the depth chart
He could easily be the No. 2 wide receiver in Tampa Bay if Chris Godwin can't stay healthy.
Cyrus Allen to be 3rd on the depth chart
He has a clear pathway to the No. 3 wide receiver role, having only to beat out Tyquan Thornton.
Jordan James to be 2nd on the depth chart
James is the early favorite to be the superstar's backup with Brian Robinson Jr. in Atlanta.
Brock Purdy to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
If the 49ers' receiving corps stays healthy, Purdy could have a top-five finish.
Deebo Samuel Sr. to be 2nd on the depth chart
He joined the team with Ricky Pearsall needing season-ending knee surgery, putting the veteran in the driver's seat for the No. 2 wide receiver role.
Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 102)
He should also see a bump in routes, with his usage likely to increase, making him a really nice value in the middle-to-late rounds of drafts.
Kenny Gainwell to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 100)
A consistent receiving role with occasional spikes in usage makes him one of the better mid- to late-round running back values on the board.
Kenny GainwellTampa Bay Buccaneers
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 65)
Christian Watson (WR – GB) ADP: 65 | (WR30) ... if we see a full year out of him, he possesses league-winning upside at current ADP.
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
Chig Okonkwo to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
Going from Cam Ward to Jayden Daniels this year is an upgrade at the quarterback position, which only strengthens his chances at cracking the top 12.
Chig OkonkwoWashington Commanders
Chig Okonkwo to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 179)
Chig Okonkwo (TE – WAS) ADP: 179 | (TE22) Here’s a TE2 with legitimate TE1 upside.
Chig OkonkwoWashington Commanders
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
The QB1 job remains in the air as both Murray and J.J. McCarthy are competing for the head signal-caller position. We all saw how things ended under McCarthy, so Murray should have the edge.