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3 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →94.64% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Every graded call published under this banner, by score.
Takes in each band
Where this publisher spends its predictions, and how accurate each kind has been.
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
451–475 of 549
276 / 549
graded
273 still pending
Sam Darnold to move
Sam Darnold... Not coming back to the Vikings, and he's gonna get $50,000,000 a year in his new deal.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
With him staying put, the NFC West Rams division to lose in 2025.
Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl
Adding Deebo puts the commanders as the team to beat in the NFC.
Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys
I think Micah stays a cowboy. I think they're You think he's I think he'll just do it late. One. The usual drill.
Abdul Carter to be picked “drafted by the Browns (if Myles Garrett is traded)”
I mean, if Myles Garrett get traded, it's for sure Abdul Car because they have to replace that position.
Micah Parsons to move to Dallas Cowboys
If the Cowboys whiff on free agency again, Micah Parsons is going to ask for a trade.
Myles Garrett to move
Is Miles Garrett getting moved? I think that'll already be done.
Abdul Carter to be picked “the Browns are taking Abdul”
The Browns are taking Abdul.
James Cook to move to Buffalo Bills
This may have been a whole long winded table pound for something that won't be necessary because the bills will pay him.
Travis Kelce to make the roster
I I I don't think this is gonna be the end of '87. I agree.
Travis Kelce to make the roster
I think Travis Kelce is gonna be back next year. He's not going out like this.
Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
Jalen Hurts proved he's a top five quarterback heading into 2025.
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
the Eagles are the favorite for next year's Super Bowl, and they're gonna be back in the big game one year from today.
Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
He is a top five quarterback in the NFL... Guess who is the MVP, of this Super Bowl and the top five guy? Not an overreaction.
Sam Darnold to move to Minnesota Vikings
I also don't think Sam's walking... But I I I do believe the the Vikings and if I'm him, I'm trying to stay. I'm trying to stay in Minnesota
Myles Garrett to move
star players get their wish usually no matter the sport... We know that he's going to a team that can can contend and win a Super Bowl.
Las Vegas Raiders to make the playoffs
And we're speaking of the Raiders. They're gonna be back in the playoffs next year. Pete Carroll, Chip Kelly now running the offense.
Myles Garrett to move
Browns are gonna send them to another conference anyway. I would imagine it'd be an NFC team.
Saquon Barkley to win MVP
I had the Eagles are the best team in the NFL, and Saquon will be first non QB MVP.
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
Jaden Daniels is gonna have the commanders back in the final four next year.
Bo Nix to win Rookie of the Year
I said, Bo Nix is the best quarterback of this draft class and will win Rookie of the Year.
Jayden Daniels to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
But he's gonna win offensive Rookie of the Year.
Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl
Jaden Daniels is the best rookie quarterback of all time, and he's going to the Super Bowl.
Saquon Barkley to win MVP
Saquon Barkley is hands down the MVP of the twenty twenty four NFL season.
Washington Commanders to win
Jaden Daniels is gonna do what CJ Stroud couldn't last year. He's gonna beat the one seed.