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3 writers with a graded record here.
Their own site →94.64% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Every graded call published under this banner, by score.
Takes in each band
Where this publisher spends its predictions, and how accurate each kind has been.
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 13 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
426–450 of 549
276 / 549
graded
273 still pending
Tyler Shough to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
We're getting Cam Ward, Chador, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and the Alabama quarterback, Jalen Milroy.
Cam Ward to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
We're getting Cam Ward, Chador, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and the Alabama quarterback, Jalen Milroy.
Jalen Milroe to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
The league has a first round grade on Jalen Milrow... five quarterbacks in the first round in two weeks.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “will go two three in the draft”
Hunter and Shador will go two three in the draft in two weeks.
Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
So Dart sneaks in, and then that's pretty much it.
Jaxson Dart to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
We're getting Cam Ward, Chador, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shuck, and the Alabama quarterback, Jalen Milroy.
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
And then it's Cam Ward, and the Titan sent everybody to his pro day... We're always open for business, but it's gonna be Cam Ward.
Ashton Jeanty to be picked “he's not getting to seven”
Jets might trade away Brace Hall and and draft Ashton Genti if he's available Wow. At seven. That I he's not getting to seven.
Travis Hunter to be picked “will go two three in the draft”
Hunter and Shador will go two three in the draft in two weeks.
Garrett Wilson to record 12 receiving tds
Justin Fields, Garrett Wilson will be a top five TD combo in 2025... 12 touchdowns. At least 12. Give me 12.
Kirk Cousins to make the roster
Midnight has not struck for Kirk Cousins in Atlanta... Do you feel like he's on the Falcons week one? ... I kinda do too.
Kirk Cousins to make the roster
Do you feel like he's on the Falcons week one? I kinda do.
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
I'm high on the Broncos too, but that's still the Kansas City freaking Chiefs... But that's the Kansas City Chiefs you're talking about, pal. Overreaction.
Denver Broncos to win the division
The Broncos are gonna win the AFC West.
Anthony Richardson to be 2nd on the depth chart
Daniel Jones should beat him out... And if he struggles, then you bring in the kid.
Kirk Cousins to be 2nd on the depth chart
What's best for the Atlanta Falcons is to make sure that Michael Pennicks junior has Kirk Cousins... in his quarterback room... So if Panix goes down, you know who goes in? Boom. Kirk Cousins.
Daniel Jones to be 1st on the depth chart
I think he's gonna win the job. And I think he's gonna be the first week starter.
Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs
The fact that Trey Hendrickson is not there does not guarantee that 2025 will go just like 2024... I can't sit there and say they start o and three and keep spinning their wheels... I'll call this an overreaction.
Tennessee Titans to pick at number 1
the Titans won't be making the first overall pick. Someone's gonna move up.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “not falling out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)
So I don't think he's falling out of the top 10 at all. No way, man.
Cleveland Browns to pick at number 2
virtually every human I I ran into in the Indianapolis thinks the Browns are taking a quarterback second overall, and that's the end of that
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
How do we go from that to, oh, they got Deebo, and, no longer are they the the leaders in the clubhouse in their own conference. Jeez, man. That's an overreaction.
Jaxson Dart to be picked “taken the end of the first round” (picks 1–32)
So I think Jackson Dart is gonna get taken the end of the first round.
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
With him staying put, the NFC West Rams division to lose in 2025. I totally agree. I absolutely totally agree.
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “fall out of the top 10” (picks 1–10)
Shador Sanders. Yes. He's gonna fall out of the top 10.