Fantasy Bust Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 409
- Graded
- 38
- Average accuracy
- 57.9
- Pundits
- 47
9% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
38 / 409
graded
371 still pending
Who is good at fantasy bust calls
- Simon Hunter100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Derek Brown81 accuracy · 12 graded+125.0
- Andrew Erickson75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Chris Welsh75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Joe Pisapia50 accuracy · 4 graded+0.0
- Pat Fitzmaurice45 accuracy · 7 graded-20.0
- Jake Ciely33 accuracy · 4 graded-66.7
- Sean Kerner0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
- Ryan Wormeli0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)58.7 · 38 graded
Every fantasy bust calls take
176–200 of 409
Luther Burden III to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 45.81 | WR21)
Luther Burden III (CHI)– ADP 45.81 | WR21 The hype around Burden has gotten out of control.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 5.58 | RB3)
Christian McCaffrey (SF) – ADP 5.58 | RB3 ... the superstar turned 30 this offseason and is a ticking time bomb because of his age and injury history.
Jalen Hurts to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 77.19 | QB6)
Jalen Hurts (PHI) – ADP 77.19 | QB6 ... Fantasy players can draft Justin Herbert nearly two rounds later and get similar upside out of the quarterback position.
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 40.53 | RB21)
Bucky Irving (TB) – ADP 40.53 | RB21 ... The Buccaneers signed Kenneth Gainwell to a significant contract in free agency, calling the veteran a co-starter during training camp, showing their lack of trust in Irving as a featured running back.
Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 65.33 | TE5)
Harold Fannin Jr. (CLE) – ADP 65.33 | TE5 ... Fannin will have massive target competition in 2026 after the Browns drafted KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston.
- PendingFrank AmmiranteFantasy Bust Calls
Demond Claiborne to fall short of his draft cost (going undrafted in most leagues)
Demond Claiborne is a sixth-round rookie who is currently third on the depth chart, behind Jordan Mason and Aaron Jones... you don't want to risk taking a zero by drafting Claiborne.
Demond ClaiborneMinnesota Vikings
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026 - PendingFrank AmmiranteFantasy Bust Calls
Omar Cooper to fall short of his draft cost (Omar Cooper Jr. goes so late in drafts)
Cooper has gotten off to a slow start in camp, with reports indicating that he may be fourth on the depth chart... this is likely going to result in a slow start. Do you really want to stash a non-contributor for the first part of the season?
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026 - PendingFrank AmmiranteFantasy Bust Calls
Carnell Tate to fall short of his draft cost (Tate often goes around Marvin Harrison Jr. and Rome Odunze)
I think the market is overvaluing draft capital here. Tate often goes around Marvin Harrison Jr. and Rome Odunze. I'd much rather have those third-year wideouts... I'm avoiding Tate at his current cost.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 20, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (the 44th overall player)
You couldn't pay me to click on Quinshon Judkins as the 44th overall player... It's all a recipe for disaster at cost.
Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (top-15 WR and Round 3 prices)
I just wish I wasn't paying top-15 WR and Round 3 prices for it... I really like Flowers, just don't like the price
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Jeremiyah Love to fall short of his draft cost (26th overall, RB13)
I said it before his high ankle sprain, and I'll say it again now: Jeremiyah Love is far too expensive (26th overall, RB13).
Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingWolf Trelles-HeardFantasy Bust Calls
Ladd McConkey to fall short of his draft cost (the WR19 on average)
His 11.3 fantasy points per game were good for only WR34, and yet he's being drafted as the WR19 on average... Instead of clicking on McConkey in the middle of Round 4, I'd rather take Jaylen Waddle, David Montgomery, Tyler Warren, or D'Andre Swift.
Ladd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingJeremy MunterFantasy Bust Calls
Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (the first three rounds)
Ashton Jeanty is not draftable in the first three rounds of any Fantasy Football draft... Drafting Jeanty in Round 1/Round 2 is the quickest way to throw away your Fantasy Football season.
Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (RB19 and 49 overall)
Cam Skattebo is coming off of a major injury and is still being drafted as RB19 and 49 overall.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (WR13)
I'm avoiding Malik Nabers at his current draft cost... Nabers is going off the board as WR13
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (an ADP of 19)
A wide receiver I'm avoiding relative to his ADP is Drake London... At this price, the risk outweighs the reward, making him an easy fade for me.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Tee Higgins to fall short of his draft cost (WR16, 38th overall)
Higgins' ADP is lower this year than it has been in the past (WR16, 38th overall), but I'd still prefer Egbuka, McConkey, McMillan, and Waddle over him.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Jeremiyah Love to fall short of his draft cost (ECR 26, RB13)
Jeremyiah Love (ECR 26, RB13) ... This year, he is a player that I am avoiding.
Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingJeremy MunterFantasy Bust Calls
Garrett Wilson to fall short of his draft cost (a Top 50 option)
Garrett Wilson being drafted as a Top 50 option is way too rich for my blood.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingWolf Trelles-HeardFantasy Bust Calls
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (Round 3)
I was shocked to look and find Cam Skattebo coming off the board in Round 3 on average... I'll continue passing on the reckless Skattebo
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (His ADP of 33)
I'm avoiding Breece Hall in all of my drafts at his current price... His ADP of 33 assumes full health and strong efficiency, neither of which feels secure right now.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (RB3 price)
Christian McCaffrey is the running back I'm most likely to avoid at his current RB3 price... I believe the downside outweighs the upside at his current ADP
Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR18 price)
Tetairoa McMillan is a receiver I'm avoiding at his current WR18 price because fantasy managers are already paying for a sizable second-year leap.
Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR18)
Tetairoa McMillan is my WR fade at his current price (WR18)... I'm not willing to pay McMillan's current price for what could be a limited-volume offense.
Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (46 overall)
I'm out on Bucky Irving at 46 overall, and Kenneth Gainwell is a much bigger part of that than I think the market is accounting for.
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026
By sport
NFL — fantasy bust calls (38 graded)
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