Fantasy Bust Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 409
- Graded
- 38
- Average accuracy
- 57.9
- Pundits
- 47
9% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
38 / 409
graded
371 still pending
Who is good at fantasy bust calls
- Simon Hunter100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Derek Brown81 accuracy · 12 graded+125.0
- Andrew Erickson75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Chris Welsh75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Joe Pisapia50 accuracy · 4 graded+0.0
- Pat Fitzmaurice45 accuracy · 7 graded-20.0
- Jake Ciely33 accuracy · 4 graded-66.7
- Sean Kerner0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
- Ryan Wormeli0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)58.7 · 38 graded
Every fantasy bust calls take
151–175 of 409
Jayden Daniels to fall short of his draft cost (the consensus fifth quarterback on the board)
I love Jayden Daniels out of my top ten. He is currently the consensus fifth quarterback on the board.
Jaydon Blue to fall short of his draft cost (the late rounds)
Blue was worth drafting in the late rounds when it seemed clear he was on track to win the backup job, but this is now a situation to avoid.
Zachariah Branch to fall short of his draft cost (late-round fantasy picks)
While several third-round wide receivers are worthy of late-round fantasy picks this year, Branch shouldn’t be one of them because his upside appears limited.
- PendingRyan KirkseyFantasy Bust Calls
Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (ECR: RB34)
That makes Hubbard a clear trending-down player, and we’re starting to see him fall dangerously close to not even being in the RB3 range.
Chuba HubbardCarolina Panthers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 24, 2026 - PendingRyan KirkseyFantasy Bust Calls
Courtland Sutton to fall short of his draft cost (ECR: WR36)
That could leave Sutton as more of a mid-range WR3 than the solid WR2 fantasy managers might have envisioned entering the offseason.
Courtland SuttonDenver Broncos
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 24, 2026 Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (first four rounds)
Jacobs could be on the hook for as many as six games, making him extremely risky in the first four rounds.
Breece Hall to fall short of his draft cost (a third-round pick)
this is something that could linger, so be cautious when considering using a third-round pick on Hall
Jordyn Tyson to fall short of his draft cost (late-round pick)
He's now just a late-round pick because it's unclear if he'll be 100 percent when he returns.
Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (top four rounds)
I'm not drafting Jeanty in the top four rounds unless we hear some good news about the injury.
George Kittle to fall short of his draft cost (single-digit rounds)
No one should be drafting Kittle in the single-digit rounds.
Puka Nacua to fall short of his draft cost (No. 4 overall)
However, this puts his status at No. 4 overall in doubt.
Ricky Pearsall to fall short of his draft cost (the final round)
Pearsall is now only an option in the final round of your fantasy draft.
De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (the second round)
that's not a bet I'm eager to make in the second round of fantasy football drafts
Brock Bowers to fall short of his draft cost (1.08)
Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high.
Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (1.08)
Jeanty has bags of talent, and he's a fine pick at the back end of the first round, but taking him over proven assets in better environments would be a mistake.
Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (1.08)
Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high.
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (WR11/12)
So after Nabers seemed like a strong fade, the conversation has changed. But so has his ADP, which continues to rise with the positive reports. However, I don't think Nabers is now completely risk-free.
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (low-end fantasy football WR2)
The FantasyPros ECR is pricing Davante Adams as a low-end fantasy football WR2... it's easy to recognize that Adams is far more likely to fall off than to replicate what he did last year.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP of WR12 (30th overall))
Now, Rice has an ADP of WR12 (30th overall). I'm fleeing at that price.
Rico Dowdle to fall short of his draft cost (RB32, 86th overall)
Dowdle was at RB32, 86th overall. ... it's possible Dowdle has a smaller role than some expect.
Zachariah Branch to fall short of his draft cost (late-round fantasy picks)
While several third-round wide receivers are worthy of late-round fantasy picks this year, Branch shouldn’t be one of them because his upside appears limited.
Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a late-third-round ADP)
The talent pool is so deep that it's not worth sacrificing the chance to draft a top-20 running back or receiver for the chance to take Josh Allen, the consensus QB1. Allen has a late-third-round ADP.
Jerry Jeudy to fall short of his draft cost (the late rounds)
But there is no reason to draft Jeudy in 2026. The Browns just spent early-round draft picks on WRs KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston.
Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (the first four rounds)
There are three tight ends guaranteed to land in the first four rounds: Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, and Colston Loveland. I'm willing to draft Bowers and Loveland at cost, but not McBride.
Jalen Hurts to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 77.19 | QB6)
Jalen Hurts (PHI) – ADP 77.19 | QB6 ... Fantasy players can draft Justin Herbert nearly two rounds later and get similar upside out of the quarterback position.
By sport
NFL — fantasy bust calls (38 graded)
The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.