Marcus Mosher · Oct 1, 2024
Mosher publishes his Week 5 NFL power rankings for 2024, with the Chiefs first and Jaguars last. Along the way he predicts the Buccaneers hold onto the NFC South, the Seahawks could steal the NFC West, and the Jaguars will pick inside the top five of the 2025 draft.
“The Jaguars look like a lock to pick inside the top five of the 2025 NFL Draft.”
published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original (as archived Oct 1, 2024) →
The page this came from has since been taken down. The archived copy above is the record of what it said.
3 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Power RankingsOct 1, 2024
“NFL Week 5 Power Rankings: 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. Jacksonville Jaguars”
Scored 85.21a naive guess scored 67.38+31.74 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 31.74
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 85.21
- baseline:
- 67.38
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- Team Draft Slot CallsOct 1, 2024
“The Jaguars look like a lock to pick inside the top five of the 2025 NFL Draft.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 45.85+96.39 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- they picked 23 the year before
- skill:
- 96.39
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 45.85
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- inside the top five of the 2025 NFL Draft (picks 1–5)
- weeks left when called:
- 14
- Division WinnersOct 1, 2024
“This still feels like Tampa Bay's division until further notice, especially if Mayfield continues to play at this level.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.