Mosher's Week 6 power rankings place the undefeated Chiefs first and the Patriots last, and along the way he calls the Commanders clear-cut NFC East favorites, tabs the Lions and Buccaneers as playoff-caliber teams, and predicts the Bears will make the playoffs.

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Playoff PicksOct 8, 2024

  “they look like a sure-fire playoff team this season”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  TB

  skill:

  0

  season:

  2024

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive said:

  true

  difficulty:

  1.72

  weeks in the season:

  18

  made playoffs:

  true

  weeks left when called:

  13

  Think this is wrong?

• Playoff PicksOct 8, 2024

  “Chicago might be the worst team in the NFC North, but this should be a playoff team this year.”

  Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-172 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  CHI

  skill:

  -172

  season:

  2024

  accuracy:

  0

  baseline:

  100

  naive said:

  false

  difficulty:

  1.72

  weeks in the season:

  18

  made playoffs:

  false

  weeks left when called:

  13

  Think this is wrong?

• Playoff PicksOct 8, 2024

  “The Vikings are absolutely a legit playoff contender”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  MIN

  skill:

  172

  season:

  2024

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  0

  naive said:

  false

  difficulty:

  1.72

  weeks in the season:

  18

  made playoffs:

  true

  weeks left when called:

  13

  Think this is wrong?

• Power RankingsOct 8, 2024

  “Here is our full set of rankings coming out of the fifth week of action: NFL Week 6 Power Rankings 1. Kansas City Chiefs ... 32. New England Patriots”

  Scored 89a naive guess scored 67.38+37.2 skill
  How this was scored

  skill:

  37.2

  method:

  spearman

  season:

  2024

  accuracy:

  89

  baseline:

  67.38

  difficulty:

  1.72

  weeks in the season:

  18

  teams ranked:

  32

  weeks left when called:

  13

  Think this is wrong?

• Depth Chart CallsOct 8, 2024

  “coach Brian Callahan is adamant that Will Levis will start when he is 100 percent healthy”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  club:

  TEN

  skill:

  0

  player:

  Will Levis

  season:

  2024

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  position:

  QB

  naive slot:

  1

  actual slot:

  1

  difficulty:

  1.72

  measured by:

  passing yards

  naive basis:

  where he sat last season

  weeks in the season:

  18

  predicted slot:

  1

  weeks left when called:

  13

  Think this is wrong?

• Division WinnersOct 8, 2024

  “Through five games, the Commanders have to be considered the clear-cut favorites in the NFC East.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?