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Marvin Prince · Feb 7, 2025

Picked the Chiefs to win 31-27 with Mahomes as MVP.

Chiefs win thirty one to twenty seven. Mahomes MVP.

said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Chiefs win thirty one to twenty seven.

    Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 62.56-45.9 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-40
    skill:
    -45.9
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    16.67
    baseline:
    62.56
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.28
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mahomes MVP.

    Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Patrick Mahomes
    season:
    2024
    winner:
    Josh Allen
    correct:
    false
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chiefs win thirty one to twenty seven. Mahomes MVP.

    Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    champion:
    PHI
    runner up:
    KC
    naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

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