Colin Cowherd · May 6, 2025

Cowherd laid out his full post-draft NFL division-by-division predictions, naming division winners, playoff fields in both conferences, and specific team finishes, plus a few player calls (Emeka Egbuka's rookie catch total, Travis Hunter's impact).

“So my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

32 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Playoff Picks Los Angeles ChargersMay 6, 2025
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAC
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Houston TexansMay 6, 2025
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
HOU
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Baltimore RavensMay 6, 2025
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Buffalo BillsMay 6, 2025
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Arizona CardinalsMay 6, 2025
“but I think Arizona can win ten to eleven games”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
ARI
naive:
8.25
skill:
0
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Philadelphia EaglesMay 6, 2025
“So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Detroit LionsMay 6, 2025
“So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Tampa Bay BuccaneersMay 6, 2025
“So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Cincinnati BengalsMay 6, 2025
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
CIN
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks New England PatriotsMay 6, 2025
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Chicago BearsMay 6, 2025
“I think the Bears eke into the playoffs.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsMay 6, 2025
“Bills win it... Patriots... Dolphins aren't good. They're going backwards, but I'll take them over the Jets”
Scored 90a naive guess scored 40+100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
40
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Elijah Moore Buffalo BillsMay 6, 2025
“he's a number four number, Yeah, he's a number three or four.”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 58.33+33.33 skill
How this was scored
club:
BUF
skill:
33.33
player:
Elijah Moore
season:
2025
accuracy:
75
baseline:
58.33
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
7
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Player Season Numbers Emeka Egbuka Tampa Bay BuccaneersMay 6, 2025
“He will be an eighty catch guy potentially as a rookie.”
Scored 57.5a naive guess scored 0+115 skill
How this was scored
naive:
27.65
skill:
115
what happened:
63
player:
Emeka Egbuka
season:
2025
accuracy:
57.5
baseline:
0
predicted:
80
statistic:
receptions
difficulty:
2
last season:
no prior season
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
position average:
27.65
zero at percent out:
50
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsMay 6, 2025
“Eagles commander's going away. I'm gonna put the Giants at third and the Cowboys at four.”
Scored 70a naive guess scored 90-40 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-40
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
70
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Kansas City ChiefsMay 6, 2025
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Los Angeles ChargersMay 6, 2025
“She's still win ten to eleven, maybe twelve”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 75+50 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAC
naive:
9.75
skill:
50
what happened:
11
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
75
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsMay 6, 2025
“I'll take the Jaguars third and the Colts fourth”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 70-40 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-40
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
70
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Tennessee TitansMay 6, 2025
“the Titans are a wild card team”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
TEN
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Los Angeles RamsMay 6, 2025
“So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Washington CommandersMay 6, 2025
“So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Seattle SeahawksMay 6, 2025
“So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Detroit LionsMay 6, 2025
“Next up, NFC North. I'm keeping at the same... So my playoff picture in the NFC Eagles, Lions, Bucks, Rams, Commanders, Bears, Seahawks.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Los Angeles ChargersMay 6, 2025
“in the AFC West, I feel the same way... I think the Chargers... my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Baltimore RavensMay 6, 2025
“my AFC playoff predictions Bill's Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Patriots, Bengals are new in chiefs”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Buffalo BillsMay 6, 2025
“So let's start with the AFC, so the easiest. I would bet my car on this one. Bills win it.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls New England PatriotsMay 6, 2025
“I'm predicting the Patriots will be the most improved team.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsMay 6, 2025
“Vikings will be a very good fourth place team.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Los Angeles RamsMay 6, 2025
“I think the Rams are gonna win it.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Philadelphia EaglesMay 6, 2025
“We go to the NFC now, where I do have more changes. Eagles commander's going away.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Houston TexansMay 6, 2025
“I think the Texans win it going away, and the Titans are a wild card team.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Tampa Bay BuccaneersMay 6, 2025
“I'm gonna move Tampa from second to first to win their division.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?