Cynthia Frelund · Jul 21, 2025
Freeland shared touchdown and yardage projections from her fantasy model, giving Marvin Harrison Jr. eight touchdowns to Malik Nabers' seven, Courtland Sutton eight to CeeDee Lamb's seven, David Montgomery seven rushing scores to DeAndre Swift's six, and about 400 rushing yards for Drake Maye; she also called Hunter Henry a sneaky favorite tight end pick.
“Courtland Sutton, red zone threat... Ceede Lamb more catches, Courtland Sutton, more touchdowns, eight to seven.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
8 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
“Ceede Lamb more catches, Courtland Sutton, more touchdowns, eight to seven.”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 62.84+24.33 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 5.7
- skill:
- 24.33
- what happened:
- 7
- player:
- Courtland Sutton
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 62.84
- predicted:
- 8
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 8
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 3.4
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Player Season NumbersMalik NabersJul 21, 2025
“it's eight for Harrison Junior and seven for neighbors. So it's not like so different”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 5.2
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 2
- player:
- Malik Nabers
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 7
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 7
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 3.4
- zero at percent out:
- 50
“Now, by the way, it's eight for Harrison Junior and seven for neighbors.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 40.37-80.74 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 5.7
- skill:
- -80.74
- what happened:
- 4
- player:
- Marvin Harrison Jr.
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 40.37
- predicted:
- 8
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 8
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 3.4
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Player Season NumbersCeeDee LambDallas CowboysJul 21, 2025
“Ceede Lamb more catches, Courtland Sutton, more touchdowns, eight to seven.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 27.68-55.36 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 4.7
- skill:
- -55.36
- what happened:
- 3
- player:
- CeeDee Lamb
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 27.68
- predicted:
- 7
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 6
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 3.4
- zero at percent out:
- 50
“Seven to six I have. David Montgomery was one. (question: David Montgomery or DeAndre Swift, who's going to have more rushing touchdowns?)”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 92.38-34.75 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 8.32
- skill:
- -34.75
- what happened:
- 8
- player:
- David Montgomery
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 92.38
- predicted:
- 7
- statistic:
- rushing_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 12
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 4.63
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Player Season NumbersD'Andre SwiftJul 21, 2025
“Seven to six I have. David Montgomery was one.”
Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 18.16+30.35 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 5.32
- skill:
- 30.35
- what happened:
- 9
- player:
- D'Andre Swift
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 33.33
- baseline:
- 18.16
- predicted:
- 6
- statistic:
- rushing_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 6
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 4.63
- zero at percent out:
- 50
“I think Drake May himself uses his legs for about four hundred yards.”
Scored 77.78a naive guess scored 25.8+103.95 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 283.05
- skill:
- 103.95
- what happened:
- 450
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 77.78
- baseline:
- 25.8
- predicted:
- 400
- statistic:
- rushing_yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 421
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 145.1
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Sleeper CallsHunter HenryNew England PatriotsJul 21, 2025
“Hunter, Henry is like sneaky, one of my favorite tight end picks for this year. Sneaky. I don't want anyone to know”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.