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Randy Gurzi· Sep 25, 2026

Predicted Seattle would survive a slow start and pull away in the second half for a two-touchdown road win over Washington, 27-13.

“Final score: Seahawks 27, Commanders 13”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 21.4 out of 100, against 96.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks 27 — Commanders 13

    “That winds up being the case here as a second-half surge allows Seattle to leave Washington with a two-touchdown victory. Final score: Seahawks 27, Commanders 13”

    Miss · 21Scored 21.43a naive guess scored 96.35-141.61 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    31-33
    skill:
    -141.61
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    21.43
    baseline:
    96.35
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    14

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