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Alain Poupart· Sep 26, 2026

Previewing the Week 3 home opener, he predicted the Chiefs would comfortably beat the Dolphins, saying Miami's defense couldn't contain Kansas City and its offense wasn't ready for a shootout.

“Final Prediction: Chiefs 34, Dolphins 9”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 73.8 out of 100, against 17.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kansas City Chiefs 34 — Dolphins 9

    “Final Prediction: Chiefs 34, Dolphins 9”

    Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 17.78+105.89 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-10
    skill:
    105.89
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    73.81
    baseline:
    17.78
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    25

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