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Bryan DeArdo· Sep 26, 2026

He picks the Bengals to beat the Steelers in Pittsburgh in a low-scoring, defensive game, arguing Pittsburgh's struggling offense can't break through against Cincinnati's strong defense.

“While those things could happen, I'm taking the Bengals in a close, defensive game.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 50 out of 100, against 94 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Cincinnati Bengals 20 — Steelers 17

    “While those things could happen, I'm taking the Bengals in a close, defensive game. Score: Bengals 20, Steelers 17”

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 93.97-83.11 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    27-30
    skill:
    -83.11
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    93.97
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    16
    naive home margin:
    0.47
    predicted margin:
    3

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