Richard Sherman · Jan 9, 2025

Sherman picked the Eagles, Vikings, Ravens and Bills in their wild-card games, named Lamar Jackson MVP, Patrick Surtain DPOY, Kevin O'Connell Coach of the Year, put Jared Verse in the top three of Defensive Rookie of the Year voting, and gave a Week 18 power ranking with Kansas City first.

“I think it's Lamar Jackson's MVP.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

9 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Award PicksJan 9, 2025
“Pratt Certannel it might be the defensive player of the year this season... That's pretty awesome, and it couldn't happen to a better guy. I think he deserves it.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Myles Garrett, who won it the year before
skill:
100
player:
Pat Surtain II
season:
2024
winner:
Pat Surtain II
correct:
true
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Award PicksJan 9, 2025
“they have good Jared Verst will probably be up for a Defensive Rookie of the Year... I think he'll be in the top three if he doesn't win it”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
How this was scored
award:
defensive_rookie_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Will Anderson Jr., who won it the year before
skill:
100
player:
Jared Verse
season:
2024
winner:
Jared Verse
correct:
true
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsJan 9, 2025
“Well, Kansas City Chiefs go one, your Detroit Lions two. Three would have to be Baltimore Ravens. I'm gonna go Baltimore at three, I'm gonna go Buffalo at four, and I'm gonna go Philadelphia Eagles at five”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 35+40 skill
How this was scored
skill:
40
method:
spearman
season:
2024
accuracy:
75
baseline:
35
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
5
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Coach Award PicksJan 9, 2025
“and that's why Kevin O'Connor will likely get it”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Kevin O'Connor
naive:
the naive pick was Kevin Stefanski, who won it the year before
skill:
0
season:
2024
winner:
Kevin O'Connell
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksJan 9, 2025
“I just don't think bone Knicks will play well enough to beat Josh Allen in Buffalo... But I just don't see Josh Allen losing this football game.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
7-31
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2024
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Award PicksJan 9, 2025
“I think it's Lamar Jackson's MVP. I think the numbers he put up right now are historic.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Lamar Jackson
season:
2024
winner:
Josh Allen
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksJan 9, 2025
“how certain are you that the Baltimore Ravens are going to go in there and come out with a convincing win this weekend. / I'm pretty sure about it”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksJan 9, 2025
“But I think there's definitely a path for the Green Bay Packers to win this game. But I think the Philadelphia Eagles pull it out.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksJan 9, 2025
“I think Minnesota finds a way to pull it out. You know, I know they're on the road in LA, but it's not a weather environment.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?