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Richard Sherman· Jan 9, 2025

Sherman picked the Eagles, Vikings, Ravens and Bills in their wild-card games, named Lamar Jackson MVP, Patrick Surtain DPOY, Kevin O'Connell Coach of the Year, put Jared Verse in the top three of Defensive Rookie of the Year voting, and gave a Week 18 power ranking with Kansas City first.

“I think it's Lamar Jackson's MVP.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

8 checkable claims — 3 award picks, 3 game outcome picks, 1 coach award pick and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 8 have settled, averaging 84.4 out of 100, against 41.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

8 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Coach Award PicksJan 9, 2025

    Kevin O'Connor to win Coach of the Year

    “and that's why Kevin O'Connor will likely get it”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    coach_of_the_year
    coach:
    Kevin O'Connell
    naive:
    the naive pick was Kevin Stefanski, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    season:
    2024
    winner:
    Kevin O'Connell
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

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  • Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesJan 9, 2025

    Philadelphia Eagles to beat Green Bay Packers

    “But I think there's definitely a path for the Green Bay Packers to win this game. But I think the Philadelphia Eagles pull it out.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    10-22
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensJan 9, 2025

    Baltimore Ravens to beat Steelers

    “how certain are you that the Baltimore Ravens are going to go in there and come out with a convincing win this weekend. / I'm pretty sure about it”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    14-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BAL
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

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  • Award PicksPat Surtain IIDenver BroncosJan 9, 2025

    Pat Surtain II to win Defensive Player of the Year

    “Pratt Certannel it might be the defensive player of the year this season... That's pretty awesome, and it couldn't happen to a better guy. I think he deserves it.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Myles Garrett, who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Pat Surtain II
    season:
    2024
    winner:
    Pat Surtain II
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Award PicksJared VerseLos Angeles RamsJan 9, 2025

    Jared Verse to win Defensive Rookie of the Year (top three in voting)

    “they have good Jared Verst will probably be up for a Defensive Rookie of the Year... I think he'll be in the top three if he doesn't win it”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_rookie_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Will Anderson Jr., who won it the year before
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Jared Verse
    season:
    2024
    winner:
    Jared Verse
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Power RankingsJan 9, 2025

    “Well, Kansas City Chiefs go one, your Detroit Lions two. Three would have to be Baltimore Ravens. I'm gonna go Baltimore at three, I'm gonna go Buffalo at four, and I'm gonna go Philadelphia Eagles at five”

    Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 35+40 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    40
    method:
    spearman
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    75
    baseline:
    35
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    teams ranked:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsJan 9, 2025

    Buffalo Bills to beat Denver Broncos

    “I just don't think bone Knicks will play well enough to beat Josh Allen in Buffalo... But I just don't see Josh Allen losing this football game.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Award PicksLamar JacksonBaltimore RavensJan 9, 2025

    Lamar Jackson to win MVP

    “I think it's Lamar Jackson's MVP. I think the numbers he put up right now are historic.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Lamar Jackson
    season:
    2024
    winner:
    Josh Allen
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.