Jamie Erdahl · Sep 2, 2025
Erdahl made her full 14-team playoff field: Bills, Ravens, Jaguars and Broncos as AFC division winners with Patriots, Steelers and Chiefs as wild cards; Rams, Buccaneers, Eagles and Vikings as NFC division winners with Seahawks, Giants and Packers as wild cards. She also picked Ashton Jeanty as Offensive Rookie of the Year and Brian Daboll as Coach of the Year.
“The Seattle Seahawks, the New York Giants after Brian Dable wins Coach of the Year in the NFL, and the Green Bay Packers.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
16 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Playoff PicksSep 2, 2025
“Mike Rabel new Man in town... new Man wearing the head coach headset in New England... I think he takes them back to the Promised Land with Drake May at quarterback”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksSep 2, 2025
“I don't know if it's I'm just drinking the kool aid or what, but this works for the Steelers.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksSep 2, 2025
“And the Chiefs, you guys are in all right? So they are my AFC playoff teams.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksSep 2, 2025
“The Seattle Seahawks, the New York Giants... and the Green Bay Packers. You're in. Those are my NFC wildcard teams.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SEA
- skill:
- 200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksSep 2, 2025
“I think the Giants are in by the hanging on by their teeth.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYG
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksSep 2, 2025
“and the Green Bay Packers. You're in. Those are my NFC wildcard teams.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Coach Award PicksSep 2, 2025
“the New York Giants after Brian Dable wins Coach of the Year in the NFL”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Brian Daboll
- naive:
- the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Mike Vrabel
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksSep 2, 2025
“even though ash Genty is my offensive rookie of the year”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Jayden Daniels, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- 3495fce2-d9c6-42c6-8c8f-daf0a025f4e5
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Division WinnersSep 2, 2025
“I could not have the vikings in as my NFC North champs”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersSep 2, 2025
“your sound sound logic about the Denver Broncos makes them my AFC West”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersSep 2, 2025
“the La Rams are my West champion in the NFC West”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersSep 2, 2025
“These guys are my NFC South champions.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersSep 2, 2025
“you're my NFC East champions”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersSep 2, 2025
“No, but the Ravens are in... So I got the Ravens in, the Bills in, the Jags are in”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersSep 2, 2025
“The Jags are my AFC South winners.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersSep 2, 2025
“specifically the Buffalo Bills will be my AFC East”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.