Colin Cowherd· Oct 25, 2025
The unnamed host of this weekly Friday NFL gambling show gave his five picks: Atlanta laying 7.5 against Miami, Chicago getting 6.5 in Baltimore (saying the Bears could win outright), Tampa Bay laying 3.5 in New Orleans, Dallas getting 3.5 in Denver, and Green Bay laying 3 in Pittsburgh. He also called Travis Kelce to score a touchdown Monday night.
“But I think Chicago could win outright and six and a half points.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks and 1 player season number — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 40 out of 100, against 24.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 25, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat New Orleans
“that Baker press conference, I was like, Nope, I'm taking Tampa... I'll lay the three and a half with Tampa.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TB
- score:
- 23-3
- skill:
- 161
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Travis Kelce to record 1 receiving tds
“I think Travis scores... Travis Kelcey plus one twenty anytime touchdown.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 21.33-34.35 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 3.03
- skill:
- -34.35
- what happened:
- 5
- player:
- Travis Kelce
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 21.33
- predicted:
- 1
- statistic:
- receiving_tds
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- last season:
- 3
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- position average:
- 3.07
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersOct 25, 2025
Green Bay Packers to beat Pittsburgh
“I think green Bay's better than Pittsburgh... And I just think green Bay is due for a statement game. Green Bay minus three.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 35-25
- skill:
- 161
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsOct 25, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat Baltimore
“But I think Chicago could win outright and six and a half points. I just think the Ravens have not earned the right to be a touchdown favorite. So I'll take Chicago plus the six and a half.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-161 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BAL
- score:
- 16-30
- skill:
- -161
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Game Outcome PicksAtlanta FalconsOct 25, 2025
Atlanta Falcons to beat Miami
“I do know that the Miami defense can't deal with Bijon all lay the seven and a half with Atlanta.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIA
- score:
- 34-10
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- ATL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- ATL
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
What others said about the same people
- Joel CorryTrade and Signing Calls · Baker MayfieldMiss · 0The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · R Mason ThomasClose · 59In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.
- Danny ParkinsTrade and Signing Calls · Trey HendricksonMiss · 0Parkins predicts Fernando Mendoza goes No. 1 overall to the Raiders, Trey Hendrickson signs in Tampa, Michael Penix Jr. wins Atlanta's QB competition, Jared Wilson takes over at center in New England, Mike Evans reaches 1,000 yards, and the Bears lose Byard and Brisker.
- Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks · Cashius HowellMiss · 32Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Green Bay PackersClose · 40Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Nick Wright expects the Bills to beat the Lions comfortably in the Thursday night home opener, with Josh Allen shredding a depleted Detroit secondary, and he also picks a workmanlike Chiefs win over the Colts on Sunday night. He further predicts Tyreek Hill will end up on the Chiefs by around Halloween.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsMiss · 0A CBS Sports column flags five Week 2 favorites on upset alert, effectively backing the underdogs — Lions at Bills, Bengals at Texans, Jets over Packers, Jaguars at Broncos and Saints at Ravens — to pull off wins.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Sherman ran through the entire Week 2 slate with winners and several exact final scores, picking Seattle, San Francisco, Buffalo, Houston, Chicago, New England, Jacksonville, Dallas, Kansas City, the Rams, Green Bay, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Las Vegas and Carolina. He also called Fred Warner the league's best middle linebacker and floated Parker Washington as a top-five receiver.
- Joe MarinoGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Marino predicts the Bills beat the Lions in the Thursday night home opener to go 2-0, and expects a shootout with Goff and Allen combining for over 600 passing yards (each with a good chance at 300+).
- Walter CherepinskyGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100In the Week 2 Thursday night game, he predicts the Bills beat the Lions 31-24, expecting Detroit's offense to bounce back but Buffalo to prevail, with Josh Allen thriving and James Cook struggling again.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Sherman previewed the AFC, picking the Bills, Chiefs, Ravens and Texans as division winners with Denver, New England and Jacksonville as wild cards, called several individual early-season games, and predicted a big year for Travis Hunter at cornerback.