Richard Sherman · Sep 4, 2025
Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking.
“I think Seattle wins the division in a tie record wise with the San Francisco forty nine ers, but it's gonna be a close tiebreaker.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
28 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Season Win TotalsSeattle SeahawksSep 4, 2025
“I think Seattle has enough to make the jump and to do that and win eleven games.”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 5+70 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SEA
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- 70
- what happened:
- 14
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 5
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksDenver BroncosSep 4, 2025
“But I think their second I think they make the playoffs and I think they they give people a run for their money.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DEN
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsSan Francisco 49ersSep 4, 2025
“I think they both win eleven games, and they're tied for the division, but the edge goes to the Seattle Seahawks.”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 5+150 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SF
- naive:
- 7.25
- skill:
- 150
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 5
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“a healthy Nicocollins, I think he's a top five receiver in the National Football League if he's healthy”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 8.33+133.33 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 133.33
- player:
- Nico Collins
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 8.33
- position:
- WR
- ranked by:
- receiving yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 19
- actual finish:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 5
- Season Win TotalsPittsburgh SteelersSep 4, 2025
“he went won ten games last year and he'll find a way to win ten games this year”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 85+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 10
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“Top five power Ranks National Football League we're gonna go Philadelphia Eagles won, Baltimore two, Bill's three, Kansas City four or Detroit five.”
Scored 65a naive guess scored 40+50 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 50
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 65
- baseline:
- 40
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Award PicksJoe BurrowCincinnati BengalsSep 4, 2025
“Give me Joe Burrow.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Joe Burrow
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Super Bowl PicksPhiladelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
“I would say the Philadelphia Eagles go back to back.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsTampa Bay BuccaneersSep 4, 2025
“Won ten games last year, I expect him to win ten games again this year, potentially eleven”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TB
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 60
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksWashington CommandersSep 4, 2025
“I think they go to the playoffs.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- WAS
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsKansas City ChiefsSep 4, 2025
“as long as they have Travis Kelce, Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid and Spags on the defense, they're gonna win eleven twelve games”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Season Win TotalsNew England PatriotsSep 4, 2025
“But I think they'll win eight nine games.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersBuffalo BillsSep 4, 2025
“I just don't see this division being anything but the Buffalo Bill's winning by multiple games.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersTampa Bay BuccaneersSep 4, 2025
“No matter what is gonna rise in the East, it's gonna set in the West, and the Butts are gonna win the South. That's the way it's been, and I expect them to only be stronger this year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
“I got them winning an NFC unless some drastic injury news happens to their major players.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsKansas City ChiefsSep 4, 2025
“So I got the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersSeattle SeahawksSep 4, 2025
“I think Seattle wins the division in a tie record wise with the San Francisco forty nine ers”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Season Win TotalsLas Vegas RaidersSep 4, 2025
“I would expect them to be around eight to nine wins and have a chance”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Surprise Team CallsTennessee TitansSep 4, 2025
“I think they surprise some people and and and win some games they shouldn't.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersKansas City ChiefsSep 4, 2025
“If I'm not gonna say somebody else's winning the AFC West, I'm not gonna do that.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Surprise Team CallsSeattle SeahawksSep 4, 2025
“defensively, I think the Seattle Seahawks are gonna surprise a lot of people if they can stay healthy”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
“I think they really like uh Marquis Singh in the in the back end. I think he'll he'll start.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Season Win TotalsGreen Bay PackersSep 4, 2025
“the Packers won eleven games with with the roster they had, and I think they've gotten better. I think they can win twelve or thirteen games this season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersDetroit LionsSep 4, 2025
“I got Detroit winning the division with Green Bay right there on their heels”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Surprise Team CallsChicago BearsSep 4, 2025
“But I think they're going to be better. Their defense is stout... so they may be a sneaky team.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Season Win TotalsNew York GiantsSep 4, 2025
“I think they they they get eight to nine wins in this division.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersPhiladelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
“So I expect them to win this division easily going away.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Season Win TotalsWashington CommandersSep 4, 2025
“so I think they got nine to ten wins in them”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.