Richard Sherman· Sep 4, 2025

Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking.

“I think Seattle wins the division in a tie record wise with the San Francisco forty nine ers, but it's gonna be a close tiebreaker.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

28 checkable claims — 10 season win totals, 6 division winners, 3 surprise team calls, 2 conference champions, 2 playoff picks, 1 award pick, 1 depth chart call, 1 positional finishe, 1 power ranking and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 21 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

23 of 28 have settled so far, averaging 38 out of 100, against 29.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

wins

12–13 wins (12–13 wins)They said

9What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

28 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Season Win Totals Green Bay PackersSep 4, 2025
Green Bay Packers to finish with 12–13 wins
“the Packers won eleven games with with the roster they had, and I think they've gotten better. I think they can win twelve or thirteen games this season.”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 85-90 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
naive:
9.75
skill:
-90
what happened:
9
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
85
predicted:
12–13 wins (12–13 wins)
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Washington CommandersSep 4, 2025
Washington Commanders to finish with 9–10 wins
“so I think they got nine to ten wins in them”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+40 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
naive:
10.25
skill:
40
what happened:
5
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
0
predicted:
9–10 wins (9–10 wins)
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals New York GiantsSep 4, 2025
New York Giants to finish with 8–9 wins
“I think they they they get eight to nine wins in this division.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 65-90 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
naive:
5.75
skill:
-90
what happened:
4
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
65
predicted:
8–9 wins (8–9 wins)
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Las Vegas RaidersSep 4, 2025
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 8–9 wins
“I would expect them to be around eight to nine wins and have a chance”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 35-70 skill
How this was scored
team:
LV
naive:
6.25
skill:
-70
what happened:
3
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
35
predicted:
8–9 wins (8–9 wins)
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Marques Sigle San Francisco 49ersSep 4, 2025
Marques Sigle to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think they really like uh Marquis Singh in the in the back end. I think he'll he'll start.”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 83.33-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
SF
skill:
-16.67
player:
Marques Sigle
season:
2025
accuracy:
75
baseline:
83.33
position:
S
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
4
difficulty:
2
measured by:
defensive snaps
the naive guess:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Seattle SeahawksSep 4, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
“I think Seattle wins the division in a tie record wise with the San Francisco forty nine ers”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
200
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this is wrong?
Conference Champions Philadelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“I got them winning an NFC unless some drastic injury news happens to their major players.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champions:
NE,SEA
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this is wrong?
Conference Champions Kansas City ChiefsSep 4, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“So I got the Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champions:
NE,SEA
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's conference champions
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
reached the Super Bowl:
no
lost the conference final:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Philadelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
“So I expect them to win this division easily going away.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Kansas City ChiefsSep 4, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
“If I'm not gonna say somebody else's winning the AFC West, I'm not gonna do that.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
KC
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Detroit LionsSep 4, 2025
Detroit Lions to win the division
“I got Detroit winning the division with Green Bay right there on their heels”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
DET
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Buffalo BillsSep 4, 2025
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“I just don't see this division being anything but the Buffalo Bill's winning by multiple games.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Tampa Bay BuccaneersSep 4, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“No matter what is gonna rise in the East, it's gonna set in the West, and the Butts are gonna win the South. That's the way it's been, and I expect them to only be stronger this year.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Seattle SeahawksSep 4, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to finish with 11 wins
“I think Seattle has enough to make the jump and to do that and win eleven games.”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 5+70 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
naive:
9.25
skill:
70
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
40
baseline:
5
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Denver BroncosSep 4, 2025
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“But I think their second I think they make the playoffs and I think they they give people a run for their money.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DEN
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals San Francisco 49ersSep 4, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to finish with 11 wins
“I think they both win eleven games, and they're tied for the division, but the edge goes to the Seattle Seahawks.”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 5+150 skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
naive:
7.25
skill:
150
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
5
predicted:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Positional Finishes Nico Collins Houston TexansSep 4, 2025
Nico Collins to finish top 5 at his position, by receiving yards
“a healthy Nicocollins, I think he's a top five receiver in the National Football League if he's healthy”
Close · 75Scored 75a naive guess scored 8.33+133.33 skill
How this was scored
skill:
133.33
player:
Nico Collins
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
75
baseline:
8.33
position:
WR
ranked by:
receiving yards
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
19
actual finish:
8
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
5
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Pittsburgh SteelersSep 4, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 10 wins
“he went won ten games last year and he'll find a way to win ten games this year”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 85+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
PIT
naive:
9.25
skill:
30
what happened:
10
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
100
baseline:
85
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“Top five power Ranks National Football League we're gonna go Philadelphia Eagles won, Baltimore two, Bill's three, Kansas City four or Detroit five.”
Close · 65Scored 65a naive guess scored 40+50 skill
How this was scored
skill:
50
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
65
baseline:
40
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
5
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Joe Burrow Cincinnati BengalsSep 4, 2025
Joe Burrow to win MVP
“Give me Joe Burrow.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Joe Burrow
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl Picks Philadelphia EaglesSep 4, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl
“I would say the Philadelphia Eagles go back to back.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Tampa Bay BuccaneersSep 4, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to finish with 10 wins
“Won ten games last year, I expect him to win ten games again this year, potentially eleven”
Close · 60Scored 60a naive guess scored 75-30 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
naive:
9.25
skill:
-30
what happened:
8
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
60
baseline:
75
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Washington CommandersSep 4, 2025
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
“I think they go to the playoffs.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Kansas City ChiefsSep 4, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to finish with ? wins
“as long as they have Travis Kelce, Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid and Spags on the defense, they're gonna win eleven twelve games”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls Seattle SeahawksSep 4, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to beat expectations
“defensively, I think the Seattle Seahawks are gonna surprise a lot of people if they can stay healthy”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals New England PatriotsSep 4, 2025
New England Patriots to finish with ? wins
“But I think they'll win eight nine games.”
Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls Chicago BearsSep 4, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat expectations
“But I think they're going to be better. Their defense is stout... so they may be a sneaky team.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls Tennessee TitansSep 4, 2025
Tennessee Titans to beat expectations
“I think they surprise some people and and and win some games they shouldn't.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More season win totals

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Their call against what happened

Who this take is about

28 checkable claims in this take

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