Rich Eisen· Dec 19, 2025
Eisen picked the Seahawks to claim the NFC's No. 1 seed and the Broncos to win the AFC's top seed, and made several week 16 picks: Packers over Bears, Texans over Raiders, Lions over Steelers, a comfortable Eagles win, and the Chargers winning their game.
“But I think the Seahawks are gonna take the one seed though.”
said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks and 2 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 60 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldSeattle SeahawksDec 19, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to take the top seed
“But I think the Seahawks are gonna take the one seed though. I do believe.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+117 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 117
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- checked as:
- the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
- actual tier:
- bye
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (missed the playoffs)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 1
- claimed tier:
- bye
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldDenver BroncosDec 19, 2025
Denver Broncos to take the top seed
“I think the Broncos will win the one seed, and they're gonna get they're gonna have to play fewer games.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+117 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 117
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- checked as:
- the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
- actual tier:
- bye
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (visitor)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 1
- claimed tier:
- bye
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersDec 19, 2025
Green Bay Packers to beat Bears
“I think the Packers win this game. You do. Wow. ... Packers fans think I'm right. Bears fans think I'm wrong.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-117 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 16-22
- skill:
- -117
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- CHI
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansDec 19, 2025
Houston Texans to beat Raiders
“I don't think the Raiders upset the Texans at all. They are they are in for it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 21-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsDec 19, 2025
Detroit Lions to beat Steelers
“I think the lions is their last home game, and, I'm I'm I like the lions in this game a lot. A lot.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 29-24
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.17
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 3
What others said about the same people
- Tracy SandlerGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick).
- Carmen VitaliGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100In the show's weekly picks segment Vitali took the Broncos over the Rams, the Ravens over the Cowboys in Rio, Tampa at home over Minnesota, the Bills over the Chargers and the Eagles on the road in Chicago. She also agreed that Caleb Williams would be out roughly two to three weeks.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps.
- Nick WrightScore Predictions · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 5On his Week 3 pick show, Nick Wright gave straight-up final-score predictions for five games, calling blowouts by Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami, a Jacksonville home win over New England, a narrow New Orleans win over the Raiders and a low-scoring Baltimore win over Dallas in Brazil. He also called Seattle the best team in the NFL with the league's best defense.
- Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100For upset alert Wildes took the Broncos to beat the Rams straight up in Denver and added the Jets to beat the Lions straight up.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Picked the Seahawks to beat the Commanders in Week 3.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Carmen VitaliGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100In the show's weekly picks segment Vitali took the Broncos over the Rams, the Ravens over the Cowboys in Rio, Tampa at home over Minnesota, the Bills over the Chargers and the Eagles on the road in Chicago. She also agreed that Caleb Williams would be out roughly two to three weeks.
- Tracy SandlerGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick).
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Middlekauff expects blowout wins for Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami in Week 3, picks Cincinnati to beat Pittsburgh in the AFC North matchup, and takes Tennessee over the Giants if Jameis Winston is taking snaps.
- Chad Ochocinco JohnsonGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Johnson said Marvin Harrison Jr. needs a change of scenery in his make-or-break third year, and predicted the Bengals would handle the Steelers' secondary in their upcoming meeting.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Broussard picked the Bills to beat the Chargers in a competitive, higher-scoring game, said the Chiefs will rout the Dolphins, and for upset alert parlayed the Patriots over the Jaguars and the Raiders over the Saints. He also restated his Cowboys-versus-Ravens Super Bowl matchup pick.
- Geoff SchwartzGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsHit · 100Filling in on the chips segment, Schwartz took Jacksonville to beat New England, the Bengals to beat the Steelers, and the Cowboys to beat the Ravens on the Brazil field.