Guest-hosting The Herd, Parkins counted down his top ten NFL teams heading into the season, with the Eagles first and the Chargers tenth. He also predicted the Chargers return to the playoffs, the Chiefs return to the Super Bowl, ranked Justin Herbert as the fifth-best quarterback in football, described Shedeur Sanders as fourth on Cleveland's QB depth chart, and said he'd be floored if the Colts moved on from Anthony Richardson.

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

• Positional FinishesJul 29, 2025

  “Explain to me why Justin Herbert isn't the fifth best quarterback in football because he passes my beautiful eye test.”

  Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 100-66.67 skill
  How this was scored

  skill:

  -66.67

  player:

  Justin Herbert

  season:

  2025

  zero at:

  12

  accuracy:

  66.67

  baseline:

  100

  position:

  QB

  ranked by:

  passing yards

  difficulty:

  2

  naive basis:

  where he finished last season

  weeks in the season:

  18

  naive finish:

  9

  actual finish:

  9

  weeks left when called:

  18

  predicted finish:

  5

  Think this is wrong?

• Power RankingsJul 29, 2025

  “we will begin with my top ten teams heading in to the upcoming football season... Number ten, it's the Chargers of Los Angeles... Number nine the Washington Commanders... Number eight the San Francisco forty nine ers... Cincinnati Bengals [number seven]... Number six... this Rams team... Number five... Baltimore Ravens... Number four... the Bills... The Detroit Lions come in at number three... Number two the Kansas City Chiefs... Number one the Philadelphia Eagles”

  Scored 70.24a naive guess scored 58.33+23.81 skill
  How this was scored

  skill:

  23.81

  method:

  spearman

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  70.24

  baseline:

  58.33

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  teams ranked:

  8

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Depth Chart CallsJul 29, 2025

  “I am fourth on a bad quarterback depth chart for a bad organization... because if you're fourth on that depth chart, you're a long ways away from actually playing meaningful football in the NFL”

  Scored 75a naive guess scored 91.67-33.33 skill
  How this was scored

  club:

  CLE

  skill:

  -33.33

  player:

  Shedeur Sanders

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  75

  baseline:

  91.67

  position:

  QB

  naive slot:

  2

  actual slot:

  1

  difficulty:

  2

  measured by:

  passing yards

  naive basis:

  no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent

  weeks in the season:

  18

  predicted slot:

  4

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Playoff PicksJul 29, 2025

  “The Chargers. I expect them back in the playoffs”

  Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored

  team:

  LAC

  skill:

  0

  season:

  2025

  accuracy:

  100

  baseline:

  100

  naive said:

  true

  difficulty:

  2

  weeks in the season:

  18

  made playoffs:

  true

  weeks left when called:

  18

  Think this is wrong?

• Conference ChampionsJul 29, 2025

  “If the explosiveness can return to the Chiefs offense, I expect them back in the Super Bowl.”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?

• Roster Spot CallsJul 29, 2025

  “I will be floored if the Colts move off of Anthony Richardson, cut him, trade him for a mid round pick, whatever it would be, because I think they believe in the talent”

  Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

  Think this is wrong?