Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Chris Brockman· Nov 17, 2025

Brockman argued the Eagles' defense is the NFL's best and will drag a mediocre offense to the NFC championship, that the NFC North sends only two teams to the playoffs with the Bears among them, that the Rams are the league's best team, that a healthy Brock Purdy makes the 49ers an NFC threat who will beat the Saints and Falcons, and that the Panthers win the NFC South.

“They're the best in the NFL. They're gonna carry them to the NFC championship.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

8 checkable claims — 3 playoff picks, 2 game outcome picks, 1 conference champion, 1 division winner and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 71.4 out of 100, against 28.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

8 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl

    “The Eagles' offense is pretty bad. And no matter how bad it is, it's gonna be the defense, Rich. They're the best in the NFL. They're gonna carry them to the NFC championship.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    1.44
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    8
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Carolina Panthers to win the division

    “The Panthers are gonna win this division.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    144
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    CAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    1.44
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    8
    won the division:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs

    “watching either of those teams play, which it feels like they're both gonna make the playoffs depending on how injured Aaron Rodgers is”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.44
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta

    “And then their home for Atlanta, which has fallen completely apart. So Feels like those are two wins coming up.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    10-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.44
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chicago Bears to make the playoffs

    “The NFC North is only getting two playoff teams, and one of them is the bears.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CHI
    skill:
    144
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    1.44
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers to beat New Orleans

    “Their next game... is a home for New Orleans. And then their home for Atlanta... Feels like those are two wins coming up.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    144
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NO
    difficulty:
    1.44
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs

    “watching either of those teams play, which it feels like they're both gonna make the playoffs depending on how injured Aaron Rodgers is”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    BAL
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.44
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • Power RankingsNov 17, 2025

    “The Rams are the best team in the NFL.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More playoff picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these