Chris Brockman · Nov 17, 2025
Brockman argued the Eagles' defense is the NFL's best and will drag a mediocre offense to the NFC championship, that the NFC North sends only two teams to the playoffs with the Bears among them, that the Rams are the league's best team, that a healthy Brock Purdy makes the 49ers an NFC threat who will beat the Saints and Falcons, and that the Panthers win the NFC South.
“They're the best in the NFL. They're gonna carry them to the NFC championship.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
8 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Playoff PicksPittsburgh SteelersNov 17, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
“watching either of those teams play, which it feels like they're both gonna make the playoffs depending on how injured Aaron Rodgers is”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 17, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to win
“And then their home for Atlanta, which has fallen completely apart. So Feels like those are two wins coming up.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 10-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Playoff PicksChicago BearsNov 17, 2025
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
“The NFC North is only getting two playoff teams, and one of them is the bears.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CHI
- skill:
- 144
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 17, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to win
“Their next game... is a home for New Orleans. And then their home for Atlanta... Feels like those are two wins coming up.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 26-21
- skill:
- 144
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Playoff PicksBaltimore RavensNov 17, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“watching either of those teams play, which it feels like they're both gonna make the playoffs depending on how injured Aaron Rodgers is”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Division WinnersCarolina PanthersNov 17, 2025
Carolina Panthers to win the division
“The Panthers are gonna win this division.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Power RankingsNov 17, 2025
“The Rams are the best team in the NFL.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsPhiladelphia EaglesNov 17, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to reach the Super Bowl
“The Eagles' offense is pretty bad. And no matter how bad it is, it's gonna be the defense, Rich. They're the best in the NFL. They're gonna carry them to the NFC championship.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.