Rich Hribar · Jun 19, 2023

Hribar argues Pat Freiermuth reaching 100 catches in 2023 is highly improbable, and that Chris Godwin is undervalued relative to ADP — his projections have Godwin as WR17 in full-PPR while he personally ranks him WR24. He also flags Rachaad White, James Conner, Keenan Allen and Brandin Cooks as projecting above their draft cost, and prefers Christian Watson to Godwin at similar cost.

“The projections have Godwin as the WR17 in full-PPR scoring. I have him as WR24.”

published in writing · Sharp Football Analysis · read the original (as archived Jun 19, 2023) → · live page (has changed since this capture)

7 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Positional FinishesJun 19, 2023
“The projections have Godwin as the WR17 in full-PPR scoring. I have him as WR24. ADP has him at WR28.”
Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 50-33.33 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-33.33
player:
Chris Godwin Jr.
season:
2023
zero at:
12
accuracy:
33.33
baseline:
50
position:
WR
difficulty:
2
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
26
actual finish:
32
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
24
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsJun 19, 2023
“His teammate Rachaad White, James Conner, Keenan Allen, and Brandin Cooks are all players that project higher than their current cost.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsJun 19, 2023
“His teammate Rachaad White, James Conner, Keenan Allen, and Brandin Cooks are all players that project higher than their current cost.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Player Season NumbersJun 19, 2023
“the probability of Freiermuth catching 100 passes this season is very slim”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsJun 19, 2023
“I want to be above the field because Godwin objectively shows up as undervalued.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsJun 19, 2023
“His teammate Rachaad White, James Conner, Keenan Allen, and Brandin Cooks are all players that project higher than their current cost.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsJun 19, 2023
“His teammate Rachaad White, James Conner, Keenan Allen, and Brandin Cooks are all players that project higher than their current cost.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?