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Nick Wright· Dec 6, 2025

On his weekly gambling show, Nick Wright predicted Green Bay would beat Chicago by roughly a touchdown, said Cleveland would beat Tennessee, and expressed confidence in Seattle at Atlanta, Jacksonville over Indianapolis and Philadelphia at the Chargers. He also said Buffalo's playoff spot is essentially secured.

“I think Green Bay wins by right around a touchdown.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

6 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 66.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Green Bay Packers to beat Chicago

    “I think Green Bay wins by right around a touchdown.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    21-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    1.28
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    5

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Indy

    “I also think right now, in their current forms, Jacksonville is better than Indy... I love the Jags. I think it should be Jacksonville minus two and a half.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    19-36
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.28
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    5

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat Atlanta

    “I think they will be covering by halftime and covering the entirety of the second half. I'll lay the seven with Seattle”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+128 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    37-9
    skill:
    128
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.28
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    5

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cleveland Browns to beat Tennessee

    “and if Shador loses this game, he'll probably like he's cooked. No, No, they're gonna win this game.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    TEN
    score:
    31-29
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CLE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CLE
    difficulty:
    1.28
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    5

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs

    “it probably won't matter because the Bills have a playoff spot all but locked up. It would take a real Bills collapse.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    BUF
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    1.28
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    5

    Think this is wrong?

  • Philadelphia Eagles to beat Chargers

    “I think the overall roster talent plus health of the quarterbacks plus quality of D line versus A line so favors the Eagles... Philly minus three at the Chargers.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-128 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAC
    score:
    19-22
    skill:
    -128
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.28
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    5

    Think this is wrong?

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