Charlie Campbell · Feb 24, 2024

Based on a survey of team sources, Campbell reports four prospects — Will Anderson, Bryce Young, C.J. Stroud and Tyree Wilson — are viewed as certain top-10 picks in the 2023 NFL Draft, with Peter Skoronski very likely to join them.

“In surveying team sources, there were four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks in the 2023 NFL Draft.”

published in writing · Walter Football · read the original (as archived Feb 24, 2024) → · live page

5 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft PicksFeb 24, 2024
“four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks ... Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
C.J. Stroud
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top-10 pick (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 24, 2024
“four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks ... Texas Tech defensive end Tyree Wilson”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Tyree Wilson
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top-10 pick (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 24, 2024
“Another player who was viewed as very likely to end up as top-10 choice was Northwestern offensive tackle Peter Skoronski.”
Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Peter Skoronski
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top-10 choice (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 24, 2024
“there were four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks in the 2023 NFL Draft. They were: Alabama edge rusher Will Anderson”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Will Anderson Jr.
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top-10 pick (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksFeb 24, 2024
“four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks ... Alabama quarterback Bryce Young”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?