Charlie Campbell· Feb 24, 2024
Based on a survey of team sources, Campbell reports four prospects — Will Anderson, Bryce Young, C.J. Stroud and Tyree Wilson — are viewed as certain top-10 picks in the 2023 NFL Draft, with Peter Skoronski very likely to join them.
“In surveying team sources, there were four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks in the 2023 NFL Draft.”
published in writing · Walter Football · read the original (as archived Feb 24, 2024) → · live page
5 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 99.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall picktop-10 pick (picks 1–10)They said
7What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksTyree WilsonFeb 24, 2024
Tyree Wilson to be picked “top-10 pick” (picks 1–10)
“four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks ... Texas Tech defensive end Tyree Wilson”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2023
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Tyree Wilson
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top-10 pick (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksC.J. StroudFeb 24, 2024
C.J. Stroud to be picked “top-10 pick” (picks 1–10)
“four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks ... Ohio State quarterback C.J. Stroud”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2023
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- C.J. Stroud
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top-10 pick (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksPeter SkoronskiFeb 24, 2024
Peter Skoronski to be picked “top-10 choice” (picks 1–10)
“Another player who was viewed as very likely to end up as top-10 choice was Northwestern offensive tackle Peter Skoronski.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2023
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Peter Skoronski
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- top-10 choice (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksWill Anderson Jr.Feb 24, 2024
Will Anderson Jr. to be picked “top-10 pick” (picks 1–10)
“there were four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks in the 2023 NFL Draft. They were: Alabama edge rusher Will Anderson”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2023
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Will Anderson Jr.
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top-10 pick (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksBryce YoungFeb 24, 2024
Bryce Young to be picked “top-10 pick” (picks 1–10)
“four players who are viewed as definitely going as the top-10 picks ... Alabama quarterback Bryce Young”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2023
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Bryce Young
- season:
- 2023
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top-10 pick (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
What others said about the same people
- Zach RobertsRoster Spot Calls · Bryce YoungHit · 100Roberts projects the Carolina Panthers' 53-man roster following the Hall of Fame Game, naming every player he expects to make the team at each position, and pegs AJ Dillon as the fourth running back on the depth chart.
- Ross JacksonRoster Spot Calls · Tyree WilsonHit · 100Ross Jackson lays out his early defensive 53-man roster projection for the 2026 Saints, naming five edge rushers, four interior defensive linemen, five cornerbacks, five linebackers and five safeties, plus his kicker, punter and long snapper, and sends Mike Heldman, Chris Rumph and Jackson Sirmon to the practice squad.
- Jake CielySleeper Calls · Bryce YoungHit · 100Counting down his top-five middle/late-round breakout candidates, Seely picked Bryce Young, Cedric Tillman, Braelon Allen, Marvin Mims and Rome Odunze, arguing Young can be a fringe QB1 with added rushing, Tillman and Mims are their teams' No. 2 receivers, and Caleb Williams will post a huge statistical season that lifts Odunze.
- Pat GustavsonDepth Chart Calls · C.J. StroudHit · 100Gustafson predicted AJ Brown leaves Philadelphia (favoring the Raiders as a fit), assigned free agents to landing spots (Kenneth Walker to Jacksonville, Rashid Shaheed to the Raiders, Juwan Jennings to the Chargers, Isaiah Likely to the Titans, Christian Kirk to the Dolphins), and named his Week 1 quarterbacks including Deshaun Watson for Cleveland and Mac Jones to the Vikings.
- Brandon CarneyDepth Chart Calls · C.J. StroudHit · 100Carney predicted AJ Brown would not be back with the Eagles, forecast a wave of free-agent landing spots (Breece Hall to the Chiefs, Alec Pierce to the 49ers, Rico Dowdle to the Saints, George Pickens to the Patriots, Mike Evans to the Bills), and named Week 1 starting quarterbacks for several teams in flux. He also gave fantasy takes on Javonte Williams, Chris Olave and others.
- JP AcostaPro Bowl and All-Pro Calls · Will Anderson Jr.Miss · 0JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.