Colin Cowherd · Mar 13, 2025

Cowherd laid out his full NFC projections: division order in all four divisions, four division winners (Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams), three wild cards (Commanders, Bears, Seahawks), and predicted the Falcons, Bears and Seahawks as new playoff teams. He also predicted Tennessee would be a surprise team with Cam Ward.

“So my division winners Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams, Falcons are a new playoff team, wild Card Commanders, Bears, Seahawks both squeak in.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

24 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Playoff Picks Los Angeles RamsMar 13, 2025
“NFC West, so I have the Rams winning it.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Philadelphia EaglesMar 13, 2025
“So my division winners Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Atlanta FalconsMar 13, 2025
“So I have three new playoff teams, the Falcons, the Bears, and the Seahawks.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
ATL
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Seattle SeahawksMar 13, 2025
“wild Card Commanders, Bears, Seahawks both squeak in”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Chicago BearsMar 13, 2025
“wild Card Commanders, Bears, Seahawks both squeak in”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Detroit LionsMar 13, 2025
“So my division winners Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Kansas City ChiefsMar 13, 2025
“Mahomes is gonna make the playoffs.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsMar 13, 2025
“NFC West, so I have the Rams winning it... Seahawks, Niners, like Bears, Packers... Arizona. No massive upgrades are what they are.”
Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Seattle SeahawksMar 13, 2025
“that Seahawks schedule is screaming ten to eleven wins”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 5+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
naive:
9.25
skill:
30
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
5
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Buffalo BillsMar 13, 2025
“Josh Allen's gonna make the playoffs.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Positional Finishes Michael Penix Jr.Atlanta FalconsMar 13, 2025
“I think Fennix has a chance to be the best quarterback in that division.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Michael Penix Jr.
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
passing yards
difficulty:
2
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
45
actual finish:
29
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsMar 13, 2025
“The Lions have the best roster, I'll pick them one. The Vikings have the worst roster, I'll pick them four... I have Chicago second”
Scored 70a naive guess scored 10+120 skill
How this was scored
skill:
120
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
70
baseline:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsMar 13, 2025
“I'll pick them over the Commanders... Dallas third... I'll pick the Giants for fourth”
Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Baltimore RavensMar 13, 2025
“Lamar Jackson's gonna make the playoffs.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Houston TexansMar 13, 2025
“C J. Stroud's probably gonna make the playoffs.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
HOU
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Washington CommandersMar 13, 2025
“wild Card Commanders, Bears, Seahawks both squeak in”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Kirk CousinsMar 13, 2025
“cousins will get purchased by somebody before the trade deadline”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Michael Pratt Atlanta FalconsMar 13, 2025
“In that division, you're gonna start owing too.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls Tennessee TitansMar 13, 2025
“I think Tennessee is actually going to be one of the surprise teams you watch.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Los Angeles RamsMar 13, 2025
“NFC West, so I have the Rams winning it.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Atlanta FalconsMar 13, 2025
“So my division winners Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Detroit LionsMar 13, 2025
“So my division winners Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Philadelphia EaglesMar 13, 2025
“So my division winners Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Aaron RodgersMar 13, 2025
“Aaron Rodgers is gonna go somewhere, Russell's gonna go somewhere.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?