Colin Cowherd· Mar 13, 2025

Cowherd laid out his full NFC projections: division order in all four divisions, four division winners (Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams), three wild cards (Commanders, Bears, Seahawks), and predicted the Falcons, Bears and Seahawks as new playoff teams. He also predicted Tennessee would be a surprise team with Cam Ward.

“So my division winners Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams, Falcons are a new playoff team, wild Card Commanders, Bears, Seahawks both squeak in.”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

24 checkable claims — 11 playoff picks, 4 division winners, 3 power rankings, 2 trade and signing calls, 1 depth chart call, 1 positional finishe, 1 season win total and 1 surprise team call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

21 of 24 have settled so far, averaging 46.2 out of 100, against 42.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

24 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Trade and Signing Calls Kirk CousinsMar 13, 2025
Kirk Cousins to move
“cousins will get purchased by somebody before the trade deadline”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-200
player:
Kirk Cousins
season:
2025
claimed:
he leaves
was with:
ATL
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he stays where he is
weeks in the season:
18
ended up with:
ATL
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Detroit LionsMar 13, 2025
Detroit Lions to win the division
“So my division winners Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
DET
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
DET
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Philadelphia EaglesMar 13, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
“So my division winners Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
PHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
yes
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Atlanta FalconsMar 13, 2025
Atlanta Falcons to win the division
“So my division winners Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
ATL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Los Angeles RamsMar 13, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to win the division
“NFC West, so I have the Rams winning it.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
LAR
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
LAR
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Los Angeles RamsMar 13, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
“NFC West, so I have the Rams winning it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Philadelphia EaglesMar 13, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
“So my division winners Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Atlanta FalconsMar 13, 2025
Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs
“So I have three new playoff teams, the Falcons, the Bears, and the Seahawks.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
How this was scored
team:
ATL
skill:
-200
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Seattle SeahawksMar 13, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
“wild Card Commanders, Bears, Seahawks both squeak in”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Chicago BearsMar 13, 2025
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
“wild Card Commanders, Bears, Seahawks both squeak in”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Detroit LionsMar 13, 2025
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“So my division winners Eagles, Lions, Falcons, Rams”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Kansas City ChiefsMar 13, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“Mahomes is gonna make the playoffs.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
KC
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsMar 13, 2025
“NFC West, so I have the Rams winning it... Seahawks, Niners, like Bears, Packers... Arizona. No massive upgrades are what they are.”
Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Seattle SeahawksMar 13, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to finish with 10 wins
“that Seahawks schedule is screaming ten to eleven wins”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 5+30 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
naive:
9.25
skill:
30
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
5
predicted:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Buffalo BillsMar 13, 2025
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“Josh Allen's gonna make the playoffs.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Positional Finishes Michael Penix Jr.Atlanta FalconsMar 13, 2025
Michael Penix Jr. to finish top 1 at his position, by an unstated measure
“I think Fennix has a chance to be the best quarterback in that division.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
player:
Michael Penix Jr.
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
passing yards
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
45
actual finish:
29
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
1
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsMar 13, 2025
“The Lions have the best roster, I'll pick them one. The Vikings have the worst roster, I'll pick them four... I have Chicago second”
Close · 70Scored 70a naive guess scored 10+120 skill
How this was scored
skill:
120
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
70
baseline:
10
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsMar 13, 2025
“I'll pick them over the Commanders... Dallas third... I'll pick the Giants for fourth”
Hit · 90Scored 90a naive guess scored 90+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Baltimore RavensMar 13, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“Lamar Jackson's gonna make the playoffs.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BAL
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Houston TexansMar 13, 2025
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
“C J. Stroud's probably gonna make the playoffs.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
HOU
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Washington CommandersMar 13, 2025
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
“wild Card Commanders, Bears, Seahawks both squeak in”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Surprise Team Calls Tennessee TitansMar 13, 2025
Tennessee Titans to beat expectations
“I think Tennessee is actually going to be one of the surprise teams you watch.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls Michael Pratt Atlanta FalconsMar 13, 2025
Michael Pratt to be 1st on the depth chart
“In that division, you're gonna start owing too.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Trade and Signing Calls Aaron RodgersMar 13, 2025
Aaron Rodgers to move
“Aaron Rodgers is gonna go somewhere, Russell's gonna go somewhere.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 50
Dubin picks the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday Night Football, sticking with preseason expectations over Week 1 overreaction. He gives two conditional scores depending on whether Puka Nacua plays: a comfortable 27-17 win if Nacua suits up, and a narrow 17-16 win if he sits.
Dan OrlovskyGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100
Orlovsky said that even without Puka Nacua the Rams would find a way to beat the Giants on Monday night, though he thought the Giants would keep it within a touchdown.
Jared DubinScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 71
Dubin picked the Rams to beat the Giants 27-17 on Monday night.
Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsHit · 86
Prisco picked the Rams to beat the Giants 30-14.
Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 69
Dajani picked the Rams to beat the Giants 30-21.
John BreechScore Predictions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 55
Breech expects Caleb Williams to return quickly from his hamstring injury, at the latest by Week 4 against the Jets or Week 5 against the Packers, and he picked the Rams to beat the Giants on Monday night. He also floated the Saints as a potential surprise team this season.

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Who this take is about

24 checkable claims in this take

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