Daniel Jeremiah · Mar 17, 2026

Jeremiah's Mock Draft 3.0, discussed pick by pick: Mendoza first overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at 2, Francis Mauigoa to the Cardinals at 3, Jeremiyah Love to the Titans at 4, Sonny Styles to the Giants at 5, and on through the first round.

“So that's why I had Fano going nine to Kansas City.”

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

25 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“Now he's all the way up at sixteen... I love that fit for the Jets.”
Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Omar Cooper
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
54.53
baseline:
50
actual pick:
30
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
54.53
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“you had Cashius Howell from A and M going twenty six to the Bills”
Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Cashius Howell
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
52.21
baseline:
50
actual pick:
41
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
52.21
predicted pick:
26
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“sunny styles the big linebacker from Ohio State going to the Giants at five”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Position Order CallsMar 17, 2026
“you had McKay lemon being the second wide receiver off the board”
Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 12.84+57.87 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 36 at random averages 12.84
skill:
57.87
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
12.84
position:
wide receiver
class size:
36
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
3
predicted order:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“you had McKay lemon being the second wide receiver off the board at... thirteen to the rams”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Makai Lemon
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“and Caleb downs to the Bengals”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“In this scenario, I had Yowani, the guard from Penn State falling down a little bit. So if you're the Chargers... I like the Yuana pick”
Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“Bailey goes to the Saints”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
David Bailey
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“You have Reuben Bain Junior going ahead of David Bailey, so Bain goes to the Commanders”
Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Rueben Bain
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“Carnel Tate is going number six. That's obviously the Ohio state wide receiver going to the Browns.”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“And then Jeremiah Love at four to the Titans.”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“The Texans who still need offensive line help... Besides just from A and M goes there at twenty eight.”
Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Chase Bisontis
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
34
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
28
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“Caden McDonald, the defensive tackle, is now in your mock going to the Patriots. At thirty one”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Cade McDonald
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“and then the Seahawks take Jendarian Price, a second running back in the first round”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Jadarian Price
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
32
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“Arvel Reese, the edge from Ohio State, call them the linebacker going to the Jets... I love seeing Rvel Reese at two.”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“You have Mendoza first overall”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“All right, we'll move on Jordan Tyson to the Ravens.”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“Then you have Spencer Fanout going to the Chiefs as the second tackle off the board... So that's why I had Fano going nine to Kansas City.”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“A key messador the edge rusher at fifteen to the bucks”
Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Akheem Mesidor
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with LAC
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“I have him at fulk is thirty two... literally he's on the borderline for me of you know is he a first round pick, is he not a first round pick”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Keldric Faulk
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
on the borderline... is he a first round pick, is he not a first round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“the receiver out of Texas A and m... This time he's nineteen to Carolina.”
Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
K.C. Concepcion
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
24
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“So Caden Procter was another guy who moved up into your mock draft. He was not picked last time Alabama. The Eagles take him at twenty three.”
Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Kadyn Proctor
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“your twenty seventh bick Kenyan Sadik the Oregon tight end, falling all the way to twenty seven... I can see it on the forty nine ers”
Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
41.47
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
27
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
91.47
Think this is wrong?
Position Order CallsMar 17, 2026
“Spencer Fanout going to the Chiefs as the second tackle off the board”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksMar 17, 2026
“You have the tackle Francis Maui Noah from you know, going from Miami and going to Arizona.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?