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Daniel Jeremiah· Mar 17, 2026

Jeremiah's Mock Draft 3.0, discussed pick by pick: Mendoza first overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at 2, Francis Mauigoa to the Cardinals at 3, Jeremiyah Love to the Titans at 4, Sonny Styles to the Giants at 5, and on through the first round.

So that's why I had Fano going nine to Kansas City.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

25 checkable claims — 23 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 41 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

23 of 25 have settled so far, averaging 77.7 out of 100, against 48.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
15They said
22What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

25 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 15

    A key messador the edge rusher at fifteen to the bucks

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.49 against a shuffle’s 50+41.49 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.49
    player:
    Akheem Mesidor
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.49

    Think this is wrong?

  • David Bailey to be picked at number 8

    Bailey goes to the Saints

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.49 against a shuffle’s 50+41.49 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.49
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.49

    Think this is wrong?

  • Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    sunny styles the big linebacker from Ohio State going to the Giants at five

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.49 against a shuffle’s 50+41.49 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.49
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.49

    Think this is wrong?

  • Omar Cooper to be picked at number 16

    Now he's all the way up at sixteen... I love that fit for the Jets.

    Close · 55Scored 54.53 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Omar Cooper
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    54.53
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    30
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    54.53
    predicted pick:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cashius Howell to be picked at number 26

    you had Cashius Howell from A and M going twenty six to the Bills

    Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Cashius Howell
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    41
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Makai Lemon to be 2nd wide receiver off the board

    you had McKay lemon being the second wide receiver off the board

    Close · 71Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 12.84+57.87 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 36 at random averages 12.84
    skill:
    57.87
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    12.84
    position:
    wide receiver
    class size:
    36
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    3
    predicted order:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    you had McKay lemon being the second wide receiver off the board at... thirteen to the rams

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10

    and Caleb downs to the Bengals

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 22

    In this scenario, I had Yowani, the guard from Penn State falling down a little bit. So if you're the Chargers... I like the Yuana pick

    Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Olaivavega Ioane
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Rueben Bain to be picked at number 7

    You have Reuben Bain Junior going ahead of David Bailey, so Bain goes to the Commanders

    Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    Carnel Tate is going number six. That's obviously the Ohio state wide receiver going to the Browns.

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4

    And then Jeremiah Love at four to the Titans.

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chase Bisontis to be picked at number 28

    The Texans who still need offensive line help... Besides just from A and M goes there at twenty eight.

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Chase Bisontis
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    34
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    28
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cade McDonald to be picked at number 31

    Caden McDonald, the defensive tackle, is now in your mock going to the Patriots. At thirty one

    Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Cade McDonald
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jadarian Price to be picked at number 32

    and then the Seahawks take Jendarian Price, a second running back in the first round

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Jadarian Price
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    32
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    Arvel Reese, the edge from Ohio State, call them the linebacker going to the Jets... I love seeing Rvel Reese at two.

    Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    You have Mendoza first overall

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jordyn Tyson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)

    All right, we'll move on Jordan Tyson to the Ravens.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Spencer Fano to be picked at number 9

    Then you have Spencer Fanout going to the Chiefs as the second tackle off the board... So that's why I had Fano going nine to Kansas City.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Keldric Faulk to be picked “on the borderline... is he a first round pick, is he not a first round pick” (picks 1–32)

    I have him at fulk is thirty two... literally he's on the borderline for me of you know is he a first round pick, is he not a first round pick

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Keldric Faulk
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    31
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    on the borderline... is he a first round pick, is he not a first round pick (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 19

    the receiver out of Texas A and m... This time he's nineteen to Carolina.

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    K.C. Concepcion
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    24
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    19
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 23

    So Caden Procter was another guy who moved up into your mock draft. He was not picked last time Alabama. The Eagles take him at twenty three.

    Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    62.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    62.09
    predicted pick:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 27

    your twenty seventh bick Kenyan Sadik the Oregon tight end, falling all the way to twenty seven... I can see it on the forty nine ers

    Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 91.47 against a shuffle’s 50+41.47 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    41.47
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    62.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    62.09
    predicted pick:
    27
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    91.47

    Think this is wrong?

  • Spencer Fano to be 2nd tackle off the board

    Spencer Fanout going to the Chiefs as the second tackle off the board

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Francisco Mauigoa to be picked at number 3

    You have the tackle Francis Maui Noah from you know, going from Miami and going to Arizona.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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