What's Wright with Nick Wright · Apr 8, 2025
Nick Wright gave his early AFC win-total leans: overs on the Jets, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs and Raiders, plus projected win ranges for the Dolphins, Texans, Chargers and Broncos, and predicted the Raiders take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6.
“I like the Raiders over six and a half.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
10 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Season Win TotalsJacksonville JaguarsApr 8, 2025
“I am with the Jacksonville Jaguars over seven and a half.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- JAX
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 13
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsNew York JetsApr 8, 2025
“I could absolutely see Aaron Glenn getting there, that team finding its way to seven wins. I like the Jets over.”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 25+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NYJ
- naive:
- 6.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 25
- predicted:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsKansas City ChiefsApr 8, 2025
“So yeah, I'm not the Chiefs stats an over... Chiefs over eleven and a half”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- naive:
- 11.75
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 6
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsLas Vegas RaidersApr 8, 2025
“I love the over for the Las Vegas Raiders... I like the Raiders over six and a half.”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 35-30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LV
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- -30
- what happened:
- 3
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 35
- predicted:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“They are going to be able to draft an impact player at number six. Pete, I think maybe Ashton Genty.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Season Win TotalsBaltimore RavensApr 8, 2025
“This is a tentative over for Baltimore... but I lean over for Baltimore.”
Scored 20a naive guess scored 55-70 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- naive:
- 10.25
- skill:
- -70
- what happened:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 55
- predicted:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsMiami DolphinsApr 8, 2025
“I think the Dolphins will win eight or nine games. That is perfect.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Season Win TotalsDenver BroncosApr 8, 2025
“I think both those teams are gonna be hovering around at the end of the year eight nine to ten wins”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Season Win TotalsHouston TexansApr 8, 2025
“So it feels like a nine or ten win team. Will stay away from it.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Season Win TotalsLos Angeles ChargersApr 8, 2025
“I think both those teams are gonna be hovering around at the end of the year eight nine to ten wins”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.