Andrew Erickson· Mar 8, 2026
Erickson made the even-numbered selections in the 2026 mock draft, taking David Bailey second to the Jets, Caleb Downs fifth to the Giants and Carnell Tate eighth to the Saints, and also called Sonny Styles a top-five pick and Tate the first receiver drafted.
“I'm gonna go with David Bailey edge rusher from Texas Tech.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
14 checkable claims — 12 mock draft picks and 2 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
13 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 73.2 out of 100, against 46.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Blake Miller
- Philadelphia Eagles
- Sonny Styles
- David Bailey
- New York Jets
- Kayden McDonald
- Buffalo Bills
- Monroe Freeling
- Detroit Lions
- Spencer Fano
- Miami Dolphins
- Carnell Tate
- New Orleans Saints
- Caleb Downs
- New York Giants
- Avieon Terrell
- Seattle Seahawks
- Jermod McCoy
- Los Angeles Rams
- Olaivavega Ioane
- Baltimore Ravens
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- Dallas Cowboys
14 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Blake Miller to be picked at number 23
“twenty Three The Philadelphia Eagles... Offensive Line blake miller right Tackle From clemson”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.09 against a shuffle’s 50+44.09 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.09
- player:
- Blake Miller
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 17
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.09
- Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesMar 8, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked “top five pick, if not the second overall pick” (picks 1–5)
“Sunny Styles kind of cemented himself as a top five pick, if not the second overall pick overall”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.09 against a shuffle’s 50+44.09 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.09
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- top five pick, if not the second overall pick (picks 1–5)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.09
- Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyNew York JetsMar 8, 2026
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
“the Jets are on the clock, Andrew Erickson, you're up with the number two overall pick... I'm gonna go with David Bailey edge rusher from Texas Tech”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.09 against a shuffle’s 50+44.09 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.09
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.09
- Mock Draft PicksKayden McDonaldBuffalo BillsMar 8, 2026
Kayden McDonald to be picked at number 26
“number Twenty, Six Here. Buffalo bills... play cad McDonald nos tackle”
Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Kayden McDonald
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 64.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 64.84
- predicted pick:
- 26
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksMonroe FreelingDetroit LionsMar 8, 2026
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 17
“Number Seventeen, Detroit Lions... they're going to go with a Tackle From Georgia, monroe friedelan”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Monroe Freeling
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksSpencer FanoMiami DolphinsMar 8, 2026
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 11
“pick number Eleven what The dolphins do they're gonna take an offensive Tackle Spencer fanu”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Spencer Fano
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Position Order CallsCarnell TateMar 8, 2026
Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
“I think that he's still going to be probably the first receiver draft as he's the only guy that ran”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 9.48+90.52 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
- skill:
- 90.52
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 9.48
- position:
- wide receiver
- class size:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8
“that brings up The New Orleans Saints now with the eighth pick... So Carnel, tate”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsNew York GiantsMar 8, 2026
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 5
“Gonna go three in a row From Ohio State Kale down's safety Former Buck eye to The New York GIANTS ... at number five”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 32
“The seattle seahawks at Thirty Two... Cornerback, avion terrell BROTHER Of Aj Terrell”
Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Avieon Terrell
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 48
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 50
- predicted pick:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Mock Draft PicksJermod McCoyLos Angeles RamsMar 8, 2026
Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 29
“number, twenty Nine... they're going to take a Quarnerback, From tennessee. JERMAD McCoy”
Miss · 4Scored 4.42 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Jermod McCoy
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 4.42
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 101
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 4.42
- predicted pick:
- 29
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14
“Venga yo wanna number one guard in the, class ... guard From Penn State ... The Baltimore ravens Need”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Olaivavega Ioane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 20
“number Twenty The dallas cowboys with another first round pick... So Emmanuel, McNeil warren”
Miss · 19Scored 19.28 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.33 against a shuffle’s 50+43.33 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.33
- player:
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 19.28
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 58
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 19.28
- predicted pick:
- 20
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.33
- Position Order CallsOlaivavega IoaneMar 8, 2026
Olaivavega Ioane to be 1st guard off the board
“so they get the best guard in the class From Penn State”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Jeff KerrGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Kerr frames the Week 2 trip to Nashville as a game Philadelphia should win, moving the Eagles to 2-0 before a tougher stretch against the Bears and Rams.
- Cory NidohGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Nidoh expects Jalen Hurts to have another big game against Tennessee and for the Eagles to come away with their first-ever win in Nashville over the Titans.
- Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks · New York JetsMiss · 0Wildes made the Jets beating the Packers his upset alert pick, arguing Green Bay's road losing streak and Jordan Love's recent interceptions will catch up with them.
- Jeremy PargoGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Picks the Eagles, citing Vic Fangio's defensive dominance over Brian Daboll's offenses.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.
- Pat FitzmauriceMock Draft Picks · Makai LemonHit · 96Making a third of the mock's picks, he gave Reuben Bain to Arizona at 3, Francis Mauinoa to Cleveland at 6, Jeremiah Love to Kansas City at 9, Mansoor Delane to Dallas at 12, Cassius Howell to Tampa Bay at 15, Avieon Terrell to Minnesota at 18, Makai Lemon to Pittsburgh at 21, KC Concepcion to Cleveland at 24, Kadyn Proctor to San Francisco at 27 and TJ Parker to New England at 30.