Chris Raybon · Jul 23, 2025

Raybon's biggest offseason move is Liam Coen to Jacksonville, and he expects nearly every Jaguars fantasy piece to beat their draft cost — Trevor Lawrence as a QB12-type, rookie Bhayshul Tuten as the team's eventual lead back, Brian Thomas Jr. with WR1-overall upside and Brenton Strange as value. He also expects mild regression for Baker Mayfield without Coen (still a top-six fantasy QB), likes Omarion Hampton, Treveon Henderson, Stefon Diggs, Rhamondre Stevenson, Matthew Golden, Jayden Reed and Jordan Love, and thinks Najee Harris slips to RB3 territory.

“Brian Thomas Junior has upside to be the number one wide receiver in the entire NFL this year.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

18 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Depth Chart CallsJul 23, 2025
“They're likely top running back by the end of the year's going outside the top forty”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
JAX
skill:
-16.67
player:
Bhayshul Tuten
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
100
position:
RB
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsJul 23, 2025
“where he's going, like outside the top forty at running back, he could still be the lead back”
Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skill
How this was scored
club:
NE
skill:
0
player:
Rhamondre Stevenson
season:
2025
accuracy:
91.67
baseline:
91.67
position:
RB
naive slot:
1
actual slot:
2
difficulty:
2
measured by:
rushing yards
naive basis:
where he sat last season
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart CallsJul 23, 2025
“I think he could be the Packers number one wide receiver this year... I think he's going to be the number one when it's all said and done”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 83.33-16.67 skill
How this was scored
club:
GB
skill:
-16.67
player:
Matthew Golden
season:
2025
accuracy:
75
baseline:
83.33
position:
WR
naive slot:
2
actual slot:
4
difficulty:
2
measured by:
receptions
naive basis:
no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
weeks in the season:
18
predicted slot:
1
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Positional FinishesJul 23, 2025
“I have um QB twelve”
Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 0+66.67 skill
How this was scored
skill:
66.67
player:
Trevor Lawrence
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
33.33
baseline:
0
position:
QB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
27
actual finish:
4
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
12
Think this is wrong?
Positional FinishesJul 23, 2025
“I still think Baker is a top ten fantasy quarterback... somewhere in that six to twelve range. I think I have them number six”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 33.33+33.33 skill
How this was scored
skill:
33.33
player:
Baker Mayfield
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
50
baseline:
33.33
position:
QB
ranked by:
fantasy points
difficulty:
2
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
4
actual finish:
12
weeks left when called:
18
predicted finish:
6
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsJul 23, 2025
“especially for Metcalf, I think he's got significant upside. I wouldn't shy away from him at all.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsJul 23, 2025
“rookie baseel tooting at running back. I think he could smash his ADPs going as the running back forty four.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsJul 23, 2025
“Brian Thomas, who has number one overall Fantasy player like Justin Jefferson, Jamar Chase type upside is going wide receiver eight”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsJul 23, 2025
“I think Reed is undervalued as well... he's also going outside the top forty now”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Fantasy Bust CallsJul 23, 2025
“I don't think this is good for Nause... now I think he's more firmly in that running back three territory, you know, outside the top thirty”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsJul 23, 2025
“Periods added a rookie running back Travion Henderson. He is extremely fast. I think he could be kind of like that when those James White seasons”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Sleeper CallsJul 23, 2025
“I really think Stefan Diggs is being being underrated here... he's going outside the top forty in most fantasy drafts”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Sleeper CallsJul 23, 2025
“tight end, Brenton Strange, both of those guys I think are going to provide some value as well”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Sleeper CallsJul 23, 2025
“don't even sleep on a guy like DeAndre Swift”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsJul 23, 2025
“I think Trevor Lawrence could beat his ADPs going around the quarterback twenty. I think he should be more so a low end QB one, high m QB two.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Sleeper CallsJul 23, 2025
“I think it benefits Hampton the most... he has RB one upside”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Sleeper CallsJul 23, 2025
“I think Golden is a smash... I know he's kind of going outside the top forty, right outside the top forty”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Sleeper CallsJul 23, 2025
“I think Reed is undervalued as well, and Jordan loves as well”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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