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Nick Wright· Sep 25, 2026

Wright guaranteed a start-to-finish Chiefs blowout of the winless Dolphins in Miami, saying Kansas City will score 30-plus for a third straight game. He also compared this year's Cowboys to last year's Bengals, pegging Dallas for roughly eight to ten wins.

“So, yeah, I think the Chiefs win in dominant fashion.”

said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Kansas City Chiefs to beat Dolphins

    “But am I guaranteeing a start to finish, never in doubt Chiefs' dominant performance? I am... So, yeah, I think the Chiefs win in dominant fashion.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+189 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    24-10
    skill:
    189
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIA
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dallas Cowboys to finish with ? wins

    “I think Dallas is going to be this year's Cincinnati from last year. Like, the or where they can win eight, nine, maybe 10.”

    Too vague to check — we could not tell what would count as right.

    Think this is wrong?

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