Richard Sherman· Jan 15, 2025
Sherman picks the Eagles to beat the Rams in the divisional round, the Ravens to beat the Bills in Buffalo, and the Chiefs to beat the Texans at home. He also expects Sam Darnold to stay in Minnesota for at least one more year, says Shedeur Sanders should be gone within the top five picks, and predicts Dak Prescott remains Dallas's starting quarterback.
“But I think the Baltimore Ravens pull this one out.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
6 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks, 1 depth chart call, 1 mock draft pick and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 91.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersJan 15, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “gone within the top five picks” (picks 1–5)
“and if it, you know, with everything being said, he should be gone within the top five picks”
Miss · 0Scored 0.24a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.24
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 144
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.24
- predicted pick:
- gone within the top five picks (picks 1–5)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Roster Spot CallsSam DarnoldMinnesota VikingsJan 15, 2025
Sam Darnold to make the roster
“Something tells me that they'll believe in him at least for one more season.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- MIN
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- difficulty:
- 1
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- first week on the53:
- 1
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensJan 15, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to beat Buffalo Bills
“But I still think Buffalo struggles to stop the Baltimore Ravens... But I think the Baltimore Ravens pull this one out.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 25-27
- skill:
- -100
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksPhiladelphia EaglesJan 15, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Los Angeles Rams
“So who do you like, rich... I think Philly goes. You know, I think Philly just you know, sa Quon is just having a special season... So I think they're gonna figure it out.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PHI
- score:
- 22-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PHI
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsJan 15, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Houston Texans
“And I just think Andy Reid and Spags just are gonna be too much for this team in the end. And they're gonna they're gonna put out a win.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 14-23
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Depth Chart CallsDak PrescottDallas CowboysJan 15, 2025
Dak Prescott to be 1st on the depth chart
“The Dak Prescott is going to be the quarterback for the Dallas Cowboys for the foreseeable future.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- DAL
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Dak Prescott
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
What others said about the same people
- Trevor RipleyRoster Spot Calls · Dillon BellMiss · 0Ripley expects Max Brosmer to return to the Vikings on the practice squad after being waived, and thinks Dillon Bell may draw waiver interest but is also a practice squad candidate for Minnesota.
- Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls · Justin BarronMiss · 0Gurzi predicts the Cowboys' 17-man practice squad, naming each player he expects Dallas to sign, including a surprise addition of released Giants tackle Evan Neal. He also predicts Jaydon Blue will be claimed off waivers by another team and that Sam Williams will land elsewhere.
- Jeff KerrRoster Spot Calls · Maximus PulleyMiss · 0Kerr ranks the Eagles' eight undrafted free agents by their chances of making the initial 53-man roster, with Kapena Gushiken the most likely and predicts at least one UDFA makes the 53. He also forecasts practice squad spots for Zion Wilson, Deontae Lawson and Maximus Pulley, and a release for long snapper Rocco Underwood.
- Jason La CanforaRoster Spot Calls · Gerad LichtenhanMiss · 0La Canfora predicts the Ravens will keep several young players on their practice squad — DL Kaimon Rucker, LB Dominic DeLuca, LB Ethan Burke, CB Amani Oruwariye, OT Gerad Lichtenhan and QB Joe Fagnano — and expects the team to make at least one trade from its surplus of cornerbacks.
- Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · DaRon BlandMiss · 0Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland.
- Rich EisenTrade and Signing Calls · A.J. BrownHit · 100Eisen delivered his SoFi-presented power rankings of the 2026 NFL draftees most likely to live up to their billing, counting down from Mekhi Lemmon at No. 10 to Jeremiah Love at No. 1. He also predicted the Eagles will trade A.J. Brown and picked three NFC South teams to go over their win totals.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Nick Wright expects the Bills to beat the Lions comfortably in the Thursday night home opener, with Josh Allen shredding a depleted Detroit secondary, and he also picks a workmanlike Chiefs win over the Colts on Sunday night. He further predicts Tyreek Hill will end up on the Chiefs by around Halloween.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsMiss · 0A CBS Sports column flags five Week 2 favorites on upset alert, effectively backing the underdogs — Lions at Bills, Bengals at Texans, Jets over Packers, Jaguars at Broncos and Saints at Ravens — to pull off wins.
- Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsMiss · 0The co-host (identified only as "Mitchell") gave his own Week 2 picks: Seattle, the Niners in dominant fashion, his Lions over Buffalo, Cincinnati 31-27 at Houston, Chicago, Pittsburgh 24-21 as a road upset, Jacksonville by at least a touchdown, Dallas 26-22, and Kansas City handily.
- Joe MarinoGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Marino predicts the Bills beat the Lions in the Thursday night home opener to go 2-0, and expects a shootout with Goff and Allen combining for over 600 passing yards (each with a good chance at 300+).
- Walter CherepinskyGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100In the Week 2 Thursday night game, he predicts the Bills beat the Lions 31-24, expecting Detroit's offense to bounce back but Buffalo to prevail, with Josh Allen thriving and James Cook struggling again.
- Kevin WildesGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsMiss · 0Kevin picked every game and came out with the Bills missing the playoffs, the Texans as the AFC's No. 1 seed and the Seahawks as the NFC's, Dak Prescott as MVP, and the Patriots beating the Lions in the Super Bowl.