Colin Cowherd· Jun 10, 2025
Cowherd predicts Aaron Rodgers will have a fine but unspectacular 2025 season in Pittsburgh — roughly nine wins, 23 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also predicts Shedeur Sanders will take over as the Browns' starting quarterback by around Week 8, and that a dull Cleveland offense will make Cleveland a four-to-six win team. He expects Sam Darnold to have a 'B' season in Seattle, worse than his Minnesota year.
“I think this year he'll win the in a nine games, He'll have twenty three touchdowns, ten picks.”
said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 2 player season numbers, 2 season win totals and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 82.3 out of 100, against 79.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Depth Chart CallsShedeur SandersCleveland BrownsJun 10, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart
“So my guess is there's a lot of dull, small old Shadour by week eight is starting.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- CLE
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Aaron Rodgers to record 23 passing tds
“I think this year he'll win the in a nine games, He'll have twenty three touchdowns, ten picks.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 73.52+36.3 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 20.82
- skill:
- 36.3
- what happened:
- 24
- player:
- Aaron Rodgers
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 73.52
- predicted:
- 23
- statistic:
- passing_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 13.64
- zero at percent out:
- 50
Aaron Rodgers to record 10 passing interceptions
“He'll have twenty three touchdowns, ten picks. He'll be fine.”
Close · 40Scored 40a naive guess scored 62.82-45.64 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 8.6
- skill:
- -45.64
- what happened:
- 7
- player:
- Aaron Rodgers
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 40
- baseline:
- 62.82
- predicted:
- 10
- statistic:
- passing_interceptions
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 11
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 6.2
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Season Win TotalsPittsburgh SteelersJun 10, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to finish with 9 wins
“I think this year he'll win the in a nine games”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 85-10 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- naive:
- 9.25
- skill:
- -10
- what happened:
- 10
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsCleveland BrownsJun 10, 2025
Cleveland Browns to finish with 5 wins
“If they're dull in the first six weeks because they don't have a very good roster. They're probably a four to six win team.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 85+30 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CLE
- naive:
- 5.75
- skill:
- 30
- what happened:
- 5
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 85
- predicted:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
What others said about the same people
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order.
- Ryan WilsonDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100A CBS Sports piece states Deshaun Watson has won Cleveland's starting quarterback job for Week 1 with Shedeur Sanders next in line, while arguing Watson will not play like even an average NFL quarterback and that none of the Browns' current young passers should stop them from drafting a first-round quarterback next April.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano argues the Browns do not have a franchise quarterback and that it's unlikely Watson or Sanders is their long-term answer.
- John BreechDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job.
- Mark ChichesterDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Unsigned PFF piece reporting/asserting that Deshaun Watson will be Cleveland's Week 1 starting quarterback against Jacksonville, with Shedeur Sanders behind him on the depth chart.
- Zachary PerelesDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The unsigned recap argues Sanders clearly outplayed Watson and, even if Sanders isn't named the Week 1 starter, predicts both quarterbacks will see significant playing time in 2026.
More player season numbers
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ross JacksonPlayer Season Numbers · Tyler ShoughMiss · 4Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Chris BroussardPlayer Season Numbers · Lamar JacksonMiss · 0Broussard expects Lamar Jackson to play well but not vintage — two touchdown passes and no picks — while Derrick Henry carries the load with over 100 rushing yards. He also takes the Browns to upset the Bengals and believes Myles Garrett gets at least two sacks to break the single-season record.
- Rich EisenPlayer Season Numbers · Micah ParsonsClose · 56Eisen made a series of picks: Micah Parsons will out-sack any two Cowboys combined (after initially leaning the other way), the NFC North is more likely to produce a Super Bowl team than the NFC East, Eagles wins will outnumber Cowboys losses, Bo Nix/Courtland Sutton will out-touchdown Cam Ward/Calvin Ridley, and Marvin Harrison Jr./James Conner will beat Kamara/Olave in yards and TDs. He also picked the AFC West order and said Deion Sanders is more likely than Bill Belichick to have a winning record.
- Daniel JeremiahPlayer Season Numbers · Jihaad CampbellMiss · 0Jeremiah walked through his mock draft 3.0, slotting Cam Ward first overall to Tennessee, Abdul Carter to Cleveland at two, Shedeur Sanders to the Giants at three and Travis Hunter to New England at four, plus roughly twenty other first-round pairings. He also called Matthew Golden the first receiver off the board, said Tyler Booker would climb back into the latter third of the first round, expected Kirk Cousins to be traded, thought Jaire Alexander's Packers days were numbered, and predicted Cam Robinson would start at left tackle in Houston.
- Joe MarinoPlayer Season Numbers · Kyle PittsClose · 67Marino argued Kyle Pitts deserves more respect after a good season and expects his touchdown total to keep rising, landing on six touchdowns next season (following the pattern of his yearly totals).
- Tim HasselbeckPlayer Season Numbers · Isaiah LikelyMiss · 0Hasselbeck expects Kyler Murray to be released by Arizona, believes Malik Willis will sign somewhere as the anointed opening-day starter, and thinks Isaiah Likely can be a true No. 1 tight end who would catch over 75 passes with close to seven touchdowns as a full-season starter.