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Mike Mayock· Feb 24, 2025

Ahead of the combine, Mayock said three injured cornerbacks — Ben Morrison, the East Carolina prospect he called "the Ravel kid from Carolina," and Will Johnson — are potential first-round picks despite medical concerns, and that Abdul Carter and Travis Hunter are capable of going first or second overall after the two top quarterbacks.

“All three of those guys are potential first round picks with major medical concerns from injuries this past year.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

5 checkable claims — 5 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 35.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
potential first round picks (picks 1–32)They said
76What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Shavon Revel Jr. to be picked “potential first round picks” (picks 1–32)

    “the Ravel kid from Carolina who's really intriguing. He tore his ACL and practice in September... All three of those guys are potential first round picks”

    Miss · 15Scored 14.87a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Shavon Revel Jr.
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    14.87
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    76
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    14.87
    predicted pick:
    potential first round picks (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Benjamin Morrison to be picked “potential first round picks” (picks 1–32)

    “The the kid from Notre Dame, Ben Morrison... All three of those guys are potential first round picks with major medical concerns from injuries this past year.”

    Close · 40Scored 40.26a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Benjamin Morrison
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    40.26
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    53
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    40.26
    predicted pick:
    potential first round picks (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Will Johnson to be picked “potential first round picks” (picks 1–32)

    “Will Johnson from Michigan. All three of those guys are potential first round picks with major medical concerns”

    Close · 52Scored 52.21a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Will Johnson
    season:
    2024
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    47
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    potential first round picks (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

  • Travis Hunter to be picked “going one or two”

    “Is it is it Abdul Carter, or is it the Travis Hunter? They're probably the next two... And both very capable of going one or two.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Abdul Carter to be picked “going one or two”

    “Is it is it Abdul Carter, or is it the Travis Hunter? They're probably the next two... And both very capable of going one or two.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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