Sean Kerner· Jul 23, 2025
Kerner's top move is Travis Hunter to Jacksonville, though he calls Hunter's WR30 price a bit rich given usage uncertainty. He is all-in on Ashton Jeanty as a workhorse with top-five rookie upside, likes Ben Johnson's arrival for Caleb Williams and rookie TE Colston Loveland, expects DeVonta Adams to boost Matthew Stafford's touchdown total over 22.5, and is heavily drafting Jayden Higgins as Houston's No. 2 receiver.
“He's going to be a workhorse back from day one... he could push top five upside here.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
7 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls, 2 sleeper calls, 1 fantasy bust call, 1 player season number and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 10 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 45.2 out of 100, against 59.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
7 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Sleeper CallsColston LovelandChicago BearsJul 23, 2025
Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (the late tight end one range)
“Loveland's a guy I've been attacking at the you know, late tight end one range. I think it's a great landing spot for him”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- the late tight end one range
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Colston Loveland
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- TE
- had to beat:
- TE12
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- TE9
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
Travis Hunter to fall short of his draft cost (going around wide receiver thirty in early drafts)
“right now, he's going around wide receiver thirty in early drafts, which might be a little too rich given just uncertainty on just how much he will play on offense”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- going around wide receiver thirty in early drafts
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Travis Hunter
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- secondary
- had to beat:
- secondary24
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- secondary1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
- Sleeper CallsJayden HigginsHouston TexansJul 23, 2025
Jayden Higgins to outplay his draft cost (being drafted just outside the top fifty wide receivers)
“he's being drafted just outside the top fifty wide receivers right, now and that's like the perfect range to take a rookie wide receiver THAT i, think you, know people are still. Overlooking”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- being drafted just outside the top fifty wide receivers
- naive:
- a player with no record returns what an unknown at his position is worth
- skill:
- -200
- player:
- Jayden Higgins
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR36
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR47
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost, and he has no prior season — measured against the startable tier
- Depth Chart CallsAshton JeantyLas Vegas RaidersJul 23, 2025
Ashton Jeanty to be 1st on the depth chart
“So he's going to be a workhorse back from day one... this is Gent's backfield. He has zero competition.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- LV
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Ashton Jeanty to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
“he's going to be a true workhorse back and push you know, top five value as a rookie”
Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 25-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 16.67
- baseline:
- 25
- position:
- RB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — the startable tier at RB
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 24
- actual finish:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 5
Matthew Stafford to record 22.5 passing tds
“Matthew Stafford's passing touchdown prop is twenty two and a half. I think that's a couple touchdowns too low. So I'm taking that over”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- 16.82
- skill:
- 0
- what happened:
- 46
- player:
- Matthew Stafford
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 22.5
- statistic:
- passing_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 20
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 13.64
- zero at percent out:
- 50
- Depth Chart CallsJayden HigginsHouston TexansJul 23, 2025
Jayden Higgins to be 2nd on the depth chart
“So Higgins ceiling is still, you know, just the number two receiver on this team... there is room For higgins to be the number two. Target”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- HOU
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jayden Higgins
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
What others said about the same people
- Fernando Alfaro-DonisTrade and Signing Calls · Kayshon BoutteMiss · 0Argues the Raiders' weakest spot is their receiver room, expects Jalen Nailor to take a big step forward in Klint Kubiak's scheme with Kirk Cousins starting before Fernando Mendoza takes over, and suggests Las Vegas should trade a mid-round pick for Patriots receiver Kayshon Boutte, who would immediately become their top option.
- Brandon CarneyTrade and Signing Calls · Stefon DiggsMiss · 0Carney drafted a team of rookies he expects to make an immediate fantasy impact (headlined by Karnell Tate and Makai Lemon), predicted landing spots for the remaining big-name free agents, and gave way-too-early division winners, wild cards and award picks — Patriots, Chargers, Bengals, Jaguars, Eagles, Rams, Vikings and Saints as division champs with Joe Burrow as MVP.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Francis MauigoaHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Chad Ochocinco JohnsonTrade and Signing Calls · George PickensMiss · 0Johnson predicted Ja'Marr Chase would go over 74.5 receiving yards against the Steelers, said the Bengals can beat Pittsburgh in a close, low-scoring game, and forecast that George Pickens will leave Dallas in free agency and sign with the Raiders.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Las Vegas RaidersMiss · 0Sherman previewed every division: he picked Seattle to win the NFC West on a tiebreaker over San Francisco (both 11-11 wins), the Lions over the Packers in the North, the Eagles to run away with the East, Tampa Bay in the South, and Kansas City, Buffalo and the Ravens' division rivals in the AFC. He picked an Eagles–Chiefs Super Bowl with Philadelphia repeating, Joe Burrow for MVP, and gave a top-five power ranking.
- Tom PelisseroMock Draft Picks · Ashton JeantyHit · 100Pelissero says Cam Ward is the Titans' pick at the top of the 2025 draft and that Travis Hunter is most likely the Browns' selection at No. 2; he also endorses Tyler Warren as a top-10 pick, expects Ashton Jeanty inside the top 10, and names five under-the-radar players who could sneak into round one, including Emeka Egbuka between picks 20-25 and Tyler Shough (whom he pegs more likely as a Day 2 pick).
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order.
- Ryan WilsonDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100A CBS Sports piece states Deshaun Watson has won Cleveland's starting quarterback job for Week 1 with Shedeur Sanders next in line, while arguing Watson will not play like even an average NFL quarterback and that none of the Browns' current young passers should stop them from drafting a first-round quarterback next April.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano argues the Browns do not have a franchise quarterback and that it's unlikely Watson or Sanders is their long-term answer.
- John BreechDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job.
- Mark ChichesterDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Unsigned PFF piece reporting/asserting that Deshaun Watson will be Cleveland's Week 1 starting quarterback against Jacksonville, with Shedeur Sanders behind him on the depth chart.
- Zachary PerelesDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The unsigned recap argues Sanders clearly outplayed Watson and, even if Sanders isn't named the Week 1 starter, predicts both quarterbacks will see significant playing time in 2026.