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Chad Jensen· Aug 16, 2026

Jensen predicts Jarrett Stidham will hold the QB2 job in Denver while Sam Ehlinger stays third on the depth chart, and expects Ehlinger to be cut and hit the waiver wire at the end of the month since the Broncos won't carry three quarterbacks.

“Barring an epic performance in preseason Games 2 and 3, Ehlinger will remain third in Denver's quarterback hierarchy.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

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Who this take is about

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Roster Spot CallsSam EhlingerDenver BroncosAug 16, 2026

    Sam Ehlinger to make the roster

    “I'm doubtful the Broncos will be willing to carry three quarterbacks on the roster out of camp, which means Ehlinger is likely to hit the waiver wire at the end of the month.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    DEN
    skill:
    0
    player:
    ef22b3b6-cff5-493e-bcf1-f8e24e84df56
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Depth Chart CallsJarrett StidhamDenver BroncosAug 16, 2026

    Jarrett Stidham to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “after a long offseason of competing with Ehlinger to retain his long-held QB2 job, it really does feel like Stidham is in the driver's seat”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Depth Chart CallsSam EhlingerDenver BroncosAug 16, 2026

    Sam Ehlinger to be 3rd on the depth chart

    “Barring an epic performance in preseason Games 2 and 3, Ehlinger will remain third in Denver's quarterback hierarchy.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.