Jonas Knox· Apr 25, 2025
Knox delivered a "bottom ten" mock draft of the final picks of the 2025 NFL Draft, naming a specific player for each pick from No. 248 through Mr. Irrelevant at No. 257.
“It's the bottom ten of the twenty twenty five NFL draft, and it starts now.”
said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
12 checkable claims — 10 mock draft picks and 2 team draft slot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 12 have settled, averaging 13.8 out of 100, against 55.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
12 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Team Draft Slot CallsPhiladelphia EaglesApr 25, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to pick at number 254
“the new orleans Saints will send this Pick To the philadelphia eagles”
Miss · 0Scored 0.01a naive guess scored 67.71-135.41 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PHI
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- they picked 22 the year before
- skill:
- -135.41
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.01
- baseline:
- 67.71
- actual pick:
- 31
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- 254
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Team Draft Slot CallsPittsburgh SteelersApr 25, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to pick at number 251
“number two fifty one goes From The Kansas city chiefs over To The, pittsburgh steelers”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 95.76-191.51 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- they picked 20 the year before
- skill:
- -191.51
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 95.76
- actual pick:
- 21
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted pick:
- 251
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Mock Draft PicksJalen KimberKansas City ChiefsApr 25, 2025
Jalen Kimber to be picked at number 257
“Finally to fifty Seven it, is mister irrelevant time and It Belongs To. The kansas city chiefs ... he. Goes To state college jalen. Kimber Cornerback at a penn state”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 45 against a shuffle’s 50-5 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- -5
- player:
- Jalen Kimber
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; later signed with CIN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 257
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 45
Efton Chism III to be picked at number 248
“number two forty eight belongs to the New Orleans Saints, and they go wide receiver Efton Chisholm”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 45 against a shuffle’s 50-5 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- -5
- player:
- Efton Chism III
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; later signed with NE
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 248
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 45
Ja'Quinden Jackson to be picked at number 249
“The San Francisco forty nine Ers hold pick number two forty nine. Running back Jaquindon Jackson out of Arkansas”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 45 against a shuffle’s 50-5 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- -5
- player:
- Ja'Quinden Jackson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; later signed with JAX
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 249
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 45
- Mock Draft PicksJack NelsonGreen Bay PackersApr 25, 2025
Jack Nelson to be picked at number 250
“number two fifty Eight The Green Bay. Packers they stay. Local offensive Tackle Jack nelson out Of. Wisconsin”
Miss · 25Scored 25 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 45 against a shuffle’s 50-5 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- -5
- player:
- Jack Nelson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 25
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 218
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 25
- predicted pick:
- 250
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 45
- Mock Draft PicksMyles HintonApr 25, 2025
Myles Hinton to be picked at number 256
“number two fifty six. THAT Belongs, to the La chargers and. The bolts Will Go offensive tackle Miles. Hinton out of michigan”
Miss · 6Scored 5.99 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 45 against a shuffle’s 50-5 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- -5
- player:
- Myles Hinton
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 5.99
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 191
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 5.99
- predicted pick:
- 256
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 45
Carson Bruener to be picked at number 251
“number two fifty one goes From The Kansas city chiefs over To The, pittsburgh steelers And The pittsburgh steelers Selector Linebacker carson brunner Out. Of washington”
Miss · 34Scored 33.86 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 45 against a shuffle’s 50-5 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- -5
- player:
- Carson Bruener
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 33.86
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 226
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 33.86
- predicted pick:
- 251
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 45
Andy Borregales to be picked at number 252
“number two fifty two. Andres Bore a gollis ... To The san francisco forty. Nine ers he is the top kicker in. The draft”
Miss · 5Scored 4.82 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 45 against a shuffle’s 50-5 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- -5
- player:
- Andy Borregales
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 4.82
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 182
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 4.82
- predicted pick:
- 252
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 45
- Mock Draft PicksJoshua SimonHouston TexansApr 25, 2025
Joshua Simon to be picked at number 255
“Step Right up the houston Texans And, they go joshua simon Tight End. Out of south carolina ... a, pick two fifty. Five”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 45 against a shuffle’s 50-5 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- -5
- player:
- Joshua Simon
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; later signed with ATL
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 255
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 45
- Mock Draft PicksFadil DiggsMiami DolphinsApr 25, 2025
Fadil Diggs to be picked at number 253
“The miami dolphins go. Edge Here fidell digs Out of syracuse ... at pick number two Fifty three”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 45 against a shuffle’s 50-5 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- -5
- player:
- Fadil Diggs
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 254
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 253
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 45
Nazir Stackhouse to be picked at number 254
“number Two fifty four trade, alert ... And The new orleans Saints will send this Pick To the philadelphia eagles and They Will go. Nazir stackhouse”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 45 against a shuffle’s 50-5 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- -5
- player:
- Nazir Stackhouse
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2025; later signed with GB
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 254
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 45
What others said about the same people
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Jeff KerrGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Kerr frames the Week 2 trip to Nashville as a game Philadelphia should win, moving the Eagles to 2-0 before a tougher stretch against the Bears and Rams.
- Alain PoupartScore Predictions · San Francisco 49ersClose · 71Poupart predicts the 49ers beat the Dolphins 27-17 at Levi's Stadium in Week 2, though he expects the game to be closer than the spread suggests. He also anticipates a larger role for De'Von Achane and a big passing day from Brock Purdy.
- Cory NidohGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100Nidoh expects Jalen Hurts to have another big game against Tennessee and for the Eagles to come away with their first-ever win in Nashville over the Titans.
- Joshua SchulmanGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Schulman endorses the view that the Chiefs will beat the Colts in their Sunday night matchup, calling ESPN's heavy lean toward Kansas City a fair assessment.
- Derek BrownGame Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100In a Week 2 start/sit column, Derek Brown gave lineup advice on running backs, including a prediction that the 49ers would blow out the Dolphins.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.