Colin Cowherd · Aug 5, 2025

Cowherd walked through his revised division-by-division playoff predictions, keeping the Bills, Ravens, Texans, Chargers, Commanders, Buccaneers and Rams as division winners while swapping Cincinnati out for Denver in the AFC and Chicago out for Green Bay in the NFC, with New England and Seattle as his only new playoff teams.

“I'm sorry, Chicago, I think I have to demote you and put the Packers in the playoffs.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

13 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Playoff PicksAug 5, 2025
“if I had made these two changes, I do only have two new playoff teams New England and ... Seattle in the NFC”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 5, 2025
“C J. Stroud made the playoffs. My guess is c J. Stroud will make the playoffs again this year.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
HOU
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 5, 2025
“I'd probably move the Bears out and the Packers in again, noise out like the Bengals, reliable Sean Payton, Green Bay Packers in”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 5, 2025
“NFC East Eagles, Commanders, Commanders Class of the NFC East ... Giants, Cowboys”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 5, 2025
“If I moved Cincinnati out because I've predicted they'll make the playoffs, I would put the Broncos in.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DEN
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Playoff PicksAug 5, 2025
“I do only have two new playoff teams New England and the AFC and Seattle in the NFC”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
skill:
200
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 5, 2025
“AFC North prediction. Ravens are the class of of this division”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 5, 2025
“NFC South, weakest division in my opinion in football Bucks class of the division, best GM, best quarterback, and you know I'll take the Bucks.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 5, 2025
“AFC West Chargers, Chiefs. Broncos, Raiders.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 5, 2025
“Commanders Class of the NFC East, not Close”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 5, 2025
“So in the AFC, for instance, Josh Allen's gonna win the division for as long as he's in his prime.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 5, 2025
“NFC West again, I'm not as high as the Niners as jmac. I go ram Seahawks.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division WinnersAug 5, 2025
“AFC South is weak. Texans are gonna win the division.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?