Rich Eisen · Dec 8, 2025
Eisen pushed back on several takes: he doubts the Chiefs make the playoffs this year, agrees the Bills as a 5 seed can win a road playoff game, thinks New England wins the AFC East, expects Carolina to sweep Tampa Bay and win the NFC South, says Lamar Jackson is not a top-10 quarterback this year, sees the Ravens still able to win the AFC North at 8-9, and names Christian McCaffrey the Offensive Player of the Year front-runner.
“I wouldn't be shocked if they swept Tampa to to bring this home.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Lamar Jackson to finish top 10 at his position, by passing yards
“Even I don't even think you could sit here and say he's a top 10 quarterback this year.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+128 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 128
- player:
- Lamar Jackson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 6
- actual finish:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- predicted finish:
- not a top 10 quarterback this year (NOT ranks 1–10)
- Award PicksChristian McCaffreyDec 8, 2025
Christian McCaffrey to win Offensive Player of the Year
“And might be your front runner for offensive player of the year”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Christian McCaffrey
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- Division WinnersNew England PatriotsDec 8, 2025
New England Patriots to win the division
“I think you're winning the AFC East. It would be a massive collapse that I don't think New England has has in front of them”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersBaltimore RavensDec 8, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“So the Ravens still have a shot at the division, a shot at the playoffs”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksCarolina PanthersDec 8, 2025
Carolina Panthers to win
“I wouldn't be shocked if they swept Tampa to to bring this home.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.