Dan Patrick· Feb 24, 2025
Dan Patrick argued the 2025 quarterback class is weaker than last year's, saying neither Shedeur Sanders nor Cam Ward is better than Bo Nix, and touted Jackson Dart as an underrated first-round talent who might slip to the second or third round.
“I don't think any of them are better than bow Knicks and he was the last one.”
said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →
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2 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickmight go at the end of first round, maybe second round, third round (picks 1–102)They said
25What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksJaxson DartFeb 24, 2025
Jaxson Dart to be picked “might go at the end of first round, maybe second round, third round” (picks 1–102)
“I look forward to seeing Jackson Dart, who I think is the first round talent at quarterback. I think he's underrated talent now, might go at the end of first round, maybe second round, third round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jaxson Dart
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- might go at the end of first round, maybe second round, third round (picks 1–102)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksMason GrahamFeb 24, 2025
Mason Graham to be picked “top five player” (picks 1–5)
“You might pass up on Mason Graham out of Michigan, who might be a top five player”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Mason Graham
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top five player (picks 1–5)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
What others said about the same people
- Rich EisenDepth Chart Calls · Jaxson DartHit · 100Eisen agreed Josh Allen repeats as MVP and Buffalo takes the AFC's No. 1 seed, endorsed the Chargers as the AFC West team to beat and best week-one AFC team, called Derrick Henry a first-ballot Hall of Famer, said the Chiefs could start 1-5, argued the Giants should turn to rookie Jackson Dart, and pegged Emeka Egbuka as the current Offensive Rookie of the Year.
- Rich EisenDepth Chart Calls · Jaxson DartHit · 100Eisen agreed Russell Wilson is not currently a Hall of Famer and said Wilson would need to win a Super Bowl with the Giants to get there; he also suggested we'll see more of Jackson Dart than Wilson this season.
- Chris BrockmanDepth Chart Calls · Jaxson DartHit · 100Brockman argued the Giants should start Jaxson Dart from day one, predicted Shedeur Sanders would start the most games at quarterback for the Browns in 2025, said Caleb Williams would break the Bears' single-season passing yardage and touchdown records, forecast three of the top-five drafting teams making the playoffs, and picked Carolina to win the NFC South while Tampa Bay still makes the playoffs.
- Mike MayockMock Draft Picks · Jaxson DartHit · 96Mayock completed his mock draft, assigning picks 20 through 32: Tetairoa McMillan at 20, Shedeur Sanders to Pittsburgh at 21, and on through Walter Nolen to the Eagles at 32, including the Giants trading up to 24 for Jackson Dart.
- Rich EisenMock Draft Picks · Jaxson DartHit · 100Eisen maintains Cam Ward is going No. 1 overall, says Ashton Jeanty will be off the board before the Jets pick at No. 7, and expects Jackson Dart to sneak into the first round while doubting a fifth quarterback goes there.
- Chris BrockmanMock Draft Picks · Jaxson DartHit · 100Brockman predicts Travis Hunter and Shedeur Sanders go second and third overall, and that a record-ish five quarterbacks — Cam Ward, Shedeur Sanders, Jackson Dart, Tyler Shough and Jalen Milroe — will be taken in the first round, arguing Milroe's draft invite proves the league has a first-round grade on him.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.