Rhett Lewis· Mar 2, 2025
Lewis names Louisville's Tyler Shough as the new QB3 of the class — the third quarterback off the board — and views Milroe as a second-round selection.
“I think there was somebody who stood up in this event and grabbed the bull by the horns and said, at IMQB three, And to me, that was Louisville's Tyler Shuck”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
2 checkable claims — 1 mock draft pick and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 64.9 out of 100, against 41.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finish3They said
3What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Position Order CallsTyler ShoughMar 2, 2025
Tyler Shough to be 3rd quarterback off the board
“our focus was on that QB three kind of competition, pseudo competition to be that third quarterback off the board... And to me, that was Louisville's Tyler Shuck”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 32.63+67.37 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- naming one of the 14 at random averages 32.63
- skill:
- 67.37
- player:
- Tyler Shough
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 32.63
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 3
- predicted order:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksJalen MilroeMar 2, 2025
Jalen Milroe to be picked “second round type of selection” (picks 33–64)
“but that does still feel like a second round type of selection in similarity to how the Eagles went about getting Jalen Hurts. I think that could still be the Milroe situation.”
Miss · 30Scored 29.73a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Jalen Milroe
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 29.73
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 92
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 29.73
- predicted pick:
- second round type of selection (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
What others said about the same people
- Ross JacksonRoster Spot Calls · Tyler ShoughHit · 100Ross Jackson gives his final preseason 53-man roster projection for the New Orleans Saints, naming who makes the initial roster at every position group, who starts on injured reserve or the practice squad, and who the five starting offensive linemen and kicker will be.
- Shannon SharpeRoster Spot Calls · Jalen MilroeHit · 100Sharpe expects Drew Lock to be Seattle's clear No. 2 quarterback, with Jaylen Milroe kept and Mitchell Trubisky released; he also predicts Shedeur Sanders will be named the Browns' starter and Deshaun Watson eventually released, and says Cleveland won't win the Super Bowl.
- Jeremy BrenerRoster Spot Calls · Jalen MilroeHit · 100Brener argues the Seahawks should trade backup quarterback Drew Lock — plausibly to the Lions for a Day 3 pick — and keep only two quarterbacks on the 53-man roster, with Jalen Milroe retained after his training-camp ascent.
- Ross JacksonRoster Spot Calls · Tyler ShoughHit · 100Ross Jackson projects the New Orleans Saints' offensive 53-man roster: three quarterbacks with Tyler Shough starting and Spencer Rattler as the backup, four running backs including Alvin Kamara, six wide receivers with Jalen Polk making it, three tight ends, ten offensive linemen with a set starting five, and Charlie Smith at kicker.
- Ross JacksonPlayer Season Numbers · Tyler ShoughMiss · 4Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Pat GustavsonAward Picks · Tyler ShoughMiss · 0Gustafson picked the Bears, Eagles, Rams, Patriots, Jaguars and Texans in the wild card round, the Rams and Bears in the NFC, the Broncos and Patriots in the AFC, and the Patriots to beat the Bears in the Super Bowl. His awards slate included Stafford for MVP, Puka for OPOY and Liam Cohen for Coach of the Year.
More position order calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick ShookPosition Order Calls · Olaivavega IoaneMiss · 35Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Nick WrightPosition Order Calls · Carnell TateHit · 100Nick Wright laid out his full mock draft 3.0 for the 2026 NFL Draft, pick by pick through the first round, and also predicted AJ Brown would finish top five in the NFL in receiving yards with the Patriots.
- Todd McShayPosition Order Calls · K.C. ConcepcionHit · 100McShay's mock draft 4.0 has Fernando Mendoza and David Bailey going 1-2 to the Raiders and Jets, the Saints trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Titans taking Jeremiah Love at 4, the Giants taking Francis Mauigoa at 5 (though he'd now switch to Sonny Styles), the Cowboys trading up to 6, the Jets trading up to 7 for Carnell Tate, and Arizona trading up to 30 for Ty Simpson. He also predicts seven offensive tackles go in the first round and that Love, Styles, Downs and Reese all go in the top seven.
- Keith SanchezPosition Order Calls · Jordyn TysonClose · 71As relayed by Harrison, Sanchez's latest mock draft has Carnell Tate going to Washington, Jordan Tyson as the first receiver off the board at No. 5 to the Giants, Makai Lemmon at 11 and Chris Brasel at 30 to Miami, Sonny Styles at No. 8 to New Orleans, and Caleb Downs at No. 13 to the Rams.
- Field YatesPosition Order Calls · Jordyn TysonHit · 100As relayed by Rich Eisen, Yates' two-round mock draft has Fernando Mendoza first overall, followed by three edge/defenders, Caleb Downs fifth, and a series of other named picks including Eli Stowers to Tampa Bay at 46.
- Mel KiperPosition Order Calls · Carnell TateHit · 100Kiper's post-free-agency mock draft, as relayed on the show, assigns specific prospects to specific picks through the top 20, including Fernando Mendoza at No. 2, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5 and CJ Allen to the Cowboys at No. 20.