Cynthia Frelund · Nov 7, 2025

Cynthia's model/picks: Patriots edge the Buccaneers by a point, the Bears beat the Giants by more than 3.5 thanks to New York's outside run defense, the Steelers upset the Chargers outright, and the Ravens win in Minnesota by more than four.

“I actually think that the Steelers win this one outright.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

4 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Game Outcome PicksNov 7, 2025
“I actually think that the Steelers win this one outright. I think the upset happens.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-150 skill
How this was scored
won:
LAC
score:
10-25
skill:
-150
they picked:
PIT
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive pick:
LAC
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksNov 7, 2025
“I think that I have the Patriots winning by one point, so stay away in terms of playing that one for me.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
How this was scored
won:
NE
score:
28-23
skill:
150
they picked:
NE
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksNov 7, 2025
“that's why I think that the Chicago Bears win by more than three and a half points because of that outside rushing”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
CHI
score:
20-24
skill:
0
they picked:
CHI
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
CHI
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksNov 7, 2025
“They're the away team. It's happening in Minnesota. But I think Baltimore goes in and wins by more than four points.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+150 skill
How this was scored
won:
BAL
score:
27-19
skill:
150
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive pick:
MIN
difficulty:
1.5
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
9
Think this is wrong?