Andrew Erickson· Nov 28, 2025
Erickson ranked Brissett QB11 while burying Brock Purdy at QB25, was highest on Sam Darnold at QB12 in a Seahawks blowout of Minnesota, called Brenton Strange a borderline top-12 tight end, and tabbed Colston Loveland as next year's breakout tight end.
“I would stay as far away from rock Purty as possible this week.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
3 checkable claims — 2 positional finishes and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 80.6 out of 100, against 52.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finish12They said
14What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Positional FinishesSam DarnoldSeattle SeahawksNov 28, 2025
Sam Darnold to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
“You actually have him at twelve, So vibes are very high for you on Sam Donald.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 58.33+33.25 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 33.25
- player:
- Sam Darnold
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 58.33
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 9
- actual finish:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 6
- predicted finish:
- 12
- Game Outcome PicksSeattle SeahawksNov 28, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to beat Minnesota Vikings
“Well, I do think that the Seahawks will probably kill the Minnesota Vikings, and in that case, they put up thirty thirty five points.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SEA
- score:
- 0-26
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 6
Jacoby Brissett to finish top 11 at his position, by fantasy points
“You guys have him both. It looks like at eleven... I also have bo Nicks ranked ahead of Jacoby Brissett.”
Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 0+77.58 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 77.58
- player:
- Jacoby Brissett
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- fantasy points
- difficulty:
- 1.33
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 46
- actual finish:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 6
- predicted finish:
- 11
What others said about the same people
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- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Devin DuvernayHit · 100An unsigned PFF preseason recap makes numerous depth-chart, roster and usage projections across the league, based on Week 3 preseason playing time — including Roman Wilson winning Pittsburgh's third receiver job, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Charlie Kolar as the Chargers' top tight end, and Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2.
- Nathan JahnkeRoster Spot Calls · Devin DuvernayHit · 100PFF's preseason fantasy recap makes a series of depth-chart, roster and usage projections based on final-week preseason snap counts, including Ja'Kobi Lane locking down the Ravens' third receiver role, Luke McCaffrey's roster spot being in danger, Kyle Pitts facing reduced 12-personnel usage, Kendre Miller as the Saints' RB2 and Emmett Johnson as the Chiefs' backup running back.
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More positional finishes
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rich HribarPositional Finishes · Matthew StaffordHit · 100Hribar published his 2023 fantasy football quarterback tiers, ordering 41 quarterbacks into eight tiers that reflect how he prioritizes drafting the position, with Josh Allen, Jalen Hurts and Patrick Mahomes in the top tier as the trio most likely to finish as the overall QB1.
- Chris BrockmanPositional Finishes · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaHit · 100Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.
- Ryan TracyPositional Finishes · Bryan CookMiss · 0Tracy argues the Chiefs should address edge rusher and defensive tackle via the draft and use free agency on running back and wide receiver; he names Brian Robinson as his target, expects Kenneth Walker III to re-sign with Seattle, thinks Nick Bolton-style veterans like Jerry Tillery, Derek Nnadi and Mike Pennel shouldn't return, believes Bryan Cook is a top-10 safety the Chiefs can't afford, and predicts a quarterback (Trinidad Chambliss) will rocket up boards so more than one QB goes in the top 10.
- Pat GustavsonPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75Gustafson picks the Patriots, Bills, Seahawks and Bears in the divisional round with a Seahawks-Patriots Super Bowl, predicts Mike Tomlin and Matt LaFleur stay, Aaron Rodgers returns to Pittsburgh, and lays out his own coaching landing spots.
- JP AcostaPositional Finishes · Bijan RobinsonClose · 75JP picked the Eagles to beat the 49ers in a low-scoring game and the Jaguars to beat the Bills, called Bijan Robinson the best running back in the league, and named his own first-team All-Pro roster.
- Rich EisenPositional Finishes · George PickensHit · 100Eisen called the Rams-winning-it-all take an overreaction but expects Los Angeles to win the NFC West, said he doesn't see how Myles Garrett fails to win Defensive Player of the Year, and called George Pickens perhaps the third-best receiver in the NFL this season.